本文以核电产业创新链的协同度及演化路径为主题,通过对产业
链与创新链的协同演化机理和特征的分析,构建了产业链与创新链的
有序度模型与复合系统协同度模型,并利用核电产业年度时间序列数
据对二者之间的协同度及演化路径进行了实证研宄,通过对协同度的
测量及演化路径的规律研究,找出提升核电产业创新能力的发展规律
并提出政策建议,本文的研究提供理论支持和策略指导。全文研究的
内容共分为三大部分:理论部分、实证研究、对策
理论部分:对国内外学者关于产业创新链协同度及演化规律相关
研究进行了梳理,从而在吸取前人研究成果的基础上,并且结合我国
核电产业的发展现状以及产业创新链协同演化的特点,在研究相关文
I 献基础上,提取产业链和创新链的评价指标,并提出协同度模型,通
过模型对产业链和创新链评价指标进行数据分析
实证部分:首先通过GICS行业分类法,对我国核电产业上市公司
的多项数据进行整理,分别计算各项评价指标,然后计算出评价指标
的累计值以及缺损值个数,剔除缺损值,通过对各项评价指标的累计
值求均值,分别得到产业链评级指标和创新链评价指标,再运用客观
赋权法中的critic法确定各项指标的权重,然后带入模型进行计算,
求出核电产业创新链的协同度,分析核电产业的协同演化趋势图,得
出结论
对策:根据实证部分所得出的结论,本文提出了提升我国核电产
业协同创新绩效的若干建议与对策
关键词:创新协同度;产业创新链;演化路径;核电产业
II RESEARCH ON EVOLUTIONARY PATH OF INDUSTRY
INNOVATION CHAIN OF NUCLEAR POWER BASED
ON THE INNOVATION SYNERGY DEGREE
Li Yang(Business Management)
Directed By Professor Li Yuqiong
Abstract: Nuclear power as a strategic new industry has entered the fast
track of development in recent years, and became an important name card
of our going out strategy. The level of technology has matured. The
Belt and Road strategy provides an opportunity to go abroad for nuclear
power. Foreign market is the spot market for nuclear power development
in China. At present, our country is facing serious environmental
problems, air pollution is a serious threat to people&39;s health. Nuclear
power as an efficient clean energy, the demand of domestic market is
relatively large, therefore, the state encourages the development of
nuclear power. In the 13th Five-Year the national plan, our country has
made a detailed plan for nuclear power development in the last five years,
the installed capacity of nuclear power need reach 58 million kilowatt, the
constructing need to reach more than 30 million kilowatts. Domestic and
foreign markets provides a broad prospect for nuclear power development,
however, overall innovation capability of nuclear power industry is not
strong, the technology is not advanced enough in China. Therefore, how
to enhance the collaborative innovation capability of nuclear power
industry has important theoretical and practical significance. The
development of nuclear power represents the level of development of new
industries in China, which is the embodiment of the economic
development comprehensive strength. The innovation ability of nuclear
in power determines the future development and international
competitiveness of emerging industries in China. It is an important
guarantee for the success of the going out strategy.
In this paper, the coordination degree and evolution path of nuclear
power industry innovation chain are taken as the theme, through the
analysis of the evolution mechanism and characteristics of industrial
chain and imiovation chain, tiie order degree model of industrial chain
and innovation chain and the synergy degree model of complex system
are constructed. By using the annual data of the nuclear power industry,
this paper makes an empirical study on the degree between coordination
and evolution. Through the measurement of the synergy degree and the
law of evolution path, this paper finds out the law of promoting the
nuclear power industry imiovation ability and puts forward policy
suggestions. This study provides theoretical support and strategic
guidance. The full text of the study is divided into three parts: theory,
empirical research and countermeasures.
Theoretical part: This paper reviews the domestic and foreign
scholars&39; research on the coordination degree and evolution law of
industrial imiovation chain, which is based on the results of previous
research, and combines with the development of nuclear power industry
in China and the characteristics of industrial innovation chain. On the
basis of the relevant literature, the evaluation index of industrial chain
and imiovation chain is extracted, and the synergy degree model is
proposed. Tlie data analysis was based on the indicators of the industrial
chain and innovation chain through the model.
Empirical part: First of all, through the GICS industry classification
method, the data of listed nuclear power industiy companies was arranged,
each evaluation index was calculated, then calculated the cumulative
value of the evaluation index and the number of defects, eliminated the
IV defect value. The average value of each evaluation index is calculated, the
evaluation index of industrial chain and innovation chain are obtained,
then the CRITIC method is used to determine the weight of each index,
and then bring into the model for calculation, the synergy degree of
nuclear power industry innovation chain was calculated. Through the
analysis of the co-evolution trend chart of nuclear power industry, we can
draw a conclusion.
Countermeasure: Based on the empirical results, this paper puts
forward some suggestions and countermeasures to improve the
performance of nuclear power industry collaborative innovation in China.
Key words: innovation synergy industry innovation chain evolution
path nuclear power industry
v 目录
摘要 I
Abstract Ill
第1章绪论1.1研究背景1.1.1我国核电产业发展现状1.1.2核电产业存在的问题1.2研究意义1. 2.1理论意义1.2.2实践意义1.3研宄思路与研究方法1. 3. 1 研宄思路1.3.2研究方法1.4研宄内容1.5创新点第2章概念界定及相关理论分析2.1 概念界定2.1.1 核电产业2.1.2产业链2.1. 3创新链2.1.4产业创新链2.1.5创新链与产业链协同意义
14 2.1. 6创新协同度与创新绩效的关系2.2相关理论分析2.2.1创新协同度模型理论2.2.2协同理论2.3对研究现状的评述第3章评价指标体系与模型构建3.1评价指标3.1.1评价指标设计原则3. 1. 2产业链评价指标的选取3. 1. 3创新链评价指标的选取3.2模型构建
22
3.2. 1模型适用性
22
3.2.2模型创新性
22
第4章实证分析
27
4.1样本选择依据及数据处理
27
4.2产业链、创新链评价指标数据处理
28
4.3产业链、创新链评价指标的赋权
29
4.4创新协同度计算
32
4.4.1核电产业链和创新链的序参量分量的有序度
32
4. 4. 2核电产业链和创新链的有序度
32
4.4. 3核电产业创新链的创新协同度
34
第5章基于创新协同度结果的演化路径分析
37 5. 1产业创新链系统创新协同度结果分析
37
5.2核电产业创新链演化机制
38
5. 3对比核电产业现状分析演化路径
39
5. 3.1非协同阶段(1955年1976年)
39
5. 3. 2趋于协同阶段(1977年2004年)
40
5.3.3低度协同阶段(2005年2012年)
41
5.3.4快速协同阶段(2013年之后)
43
5. 4 小结 46
第6章对策及结论
49
6.1发展对策
49
6.1.1政府要加大核电创新投入,促进核电跨越式发展
49
6.1.2促进核电产业创新链内部要素协同
==>>