密级：公开 论文类型：专题研究 工商管理硕士学位论文 基于 SEM的国际工程项目风险管理 研究-以拉各斯轻轨项目为例 Research on International Project Risk Management based on SEM-A Case Study of Lagos Light Rail Project 培养单位：管理学院 专业领域：工商管理硕士 学生姓名：冯 涛 校内导师：王岳森教授 校外导师：杨云飞高工 二○二三年六月 摘要 摘要 伴随着习近平总书记“一带一路”倡议在国际上得到越来越积极的响应和国 内多项改革措施的出台，中国建筑企业“走出去”的步伐不断加快。在中企所占 市场份额快速提升的同时，复杂的国际环境和项目所在国政策的不稳定等多种不 利因素，亦给工程项目的实施带来诸多风险。识别、评估和应对这些风险，已成 涉外建筑企业必须要解决的重要课题。 本文在继承前人风险应对研究成果和处置经验的基础上，采用系统分析和对 比分析等方法，对当前国际工程项目风险类别及特点进行了简单梳理，建立了初 步的风险清单。通过专家访谈等方法探讨了风险因素属性及相互关系，运用 Dematel法分析了各风险因素之间的逻辑联系、相互影响程度并识别关键风险，构 建起初步的风险评价指标体系。采用李克特七级量表，借助问卷调查获取相关数 据，并用结构方程模型对评价指标体系进行评估，以此辨识各类风险因素对工程 项目影响程度的大小，进而确定评价指标权重。最后以尼日利亚拉各斯轻轨（蓝 线）项目为实际案例进行了验证，明确了尽管项目处于高风险范围，但采取相关 预防举措后仍可实施。相关探索为国际工程项目风险的评估和应对提供了一种可 行的思路和方法。 关键词：国际工程项目；SEM；风险管理；DEMATEL Abstract Abstract More and more Chinese construction companies are taking an active part in overseas construction projects,with President XiJinping’s the “Belt andRoad Initiative” and various reform measures pushing forward Chinese enterprises to “Go global”. The Chinese companies are now increasingly with an occupation of the market, however, the complex international context and the instability of policies in the country projects situated also bring many risks to the implementation of projects. Identifying, assessing and responding to these risks has become an important issue for these construction enterprises. On the basis of the existing research results and experience, the thesis briefly sorts out the risk categories and characteristics of current international engineering projects by systematic analysis and comparative analysis, establishing a preliminary list. Through expert interviews and other methods, the author explores risk factors and relationship among them, and the logical relationship and mutual influence degree of each risk factor were analyzed by using Dematel method; and key risks were identified, with a preliminary risk eval