国内外学者对相关课题的研究大多基于整体影响的角度进行分析,忽
略了区域之间的地区差异性,仅有少数学者在研宄时引入了空间因素,对
于中国而言,由于各省份的地理因素等自然条件的制约,各地区的经济和
环境的发展各不相同,因而在研究具体问题时有必要引进空间因素进行研
宄。由此,本文立足于空间计量的实证方法来探宄我国的能源消费问题
本文基于我国30个省份的面板数据,首先检验我国能源消费的空间
相关性;其次,基于能源消费的空间检验结果,将空间因素引入研究中,
运用空间计量的方法建立空间计量模型,从整体以及区域两个方面对我国
人口与贸易等其他因素对能源消费的影响关系进行了研宂与分析,本文得
出全国层面现阶段我国人口因素中的人口老龄化和贸易开放均正向影响
能源消费,分区域层面研宂中我国东部地区贸易开放所带来的技术效应对
能源消费有抑制性的结论。最后,依据本文的研究结论,提出了相关的政
策及建议
关键词:人口,贸易,能源消费,空间计量
I
北京化工大学硕士学位论文
IMPACT OF POPULATION AND FREE TRADE ON
ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN CHINA
ABSTRACT
Energy is the driving force of economic development, is the basis of
social progress. In recent years, The world&39;s economic level continues to
improve, the industrialization process continues to advance, making the
world&39;s total energy consumption increased year by year. With the
contradiction between energy supply and demand has become increasingly
prominent, the world&39;s energy crisis has gradually exposed his, In the case of
our country, In the thirteen five plan also clearly put forward the specific
objectives of energy conservation. How to reduce energy consumption and
improve the efficiency of energy use has become an important issue of great
concern to all sectors of society.
The research on energy consumption at home and abroad is based on the
global perspective, ignoring the regional differences, and only a few studies
have considered the introduction of spatial factors, but the research is not
comprehensive. In the case of our country, due to the different economic and
environmental factors of the provinces, it is necessary to introduce spatial
factors into the relevant research. It can be seen that it is necessary to study the
problem of energy consumption in China based on the spatial measurement
method.
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China, this paper first tests the
spatial correlation of energy consumption and obtains the spatial correlation of
energy consumption in China. Secondly, based on the spatial test results of
n
ABSTRACT
energy consumption, the spatial factors are introduced into the research, This
paper uses the method of spatial measurement to establish the spatial
measurement model, and studies and analyzes the influence of other factors
such as population and trade on energy consumption from the whole and the
regional aspects. The population of China&39;s population factor at the national
level is drawn Aging and trade liberalization are positively affected by energy
consumption, and the technical effect brought about by the opening of trade in
eastern China is a measure of energy consumption, with a view to provide a
reference for practice.
KEYWORDS: population, trade, energy consumption, space measuremen
mi
北京化工大学硕士学位论文
目录
m-章餅 1
1.1研究背景 1
1.2研宄目的及意义1.2. 1研宂目的 2
1.2.2研究意义 2
1.3国内外文献综述1.3. 1贸易与能源消费的关系研究1.3.2人口与能源消费的关系研宂1.3. 3简要评述 5
1.4研究思路 6
1.5研究方法与研究框架1. 6论文创新点及不足之处第二章人口与贸易对能源消费的影响机理2. 1理论基础 8
2. 1. 1人口理论简述2. 1.2贸易理论简述2.2贸易开放影响能源消费的机理2.2. 1贸易开放通过经济增长影响能源消费2.2.2贸易开放通过产业结构调整影响能源消费2.2.3贸易开放通过技术进步影响能源消费2.3人口等其他因素影响能源消费的机理2.3. 1能源消费影响因素概述2. 4本章小结 14
第三章人口与贸易影响能源消费的分析3.1我国能源消费现状3. 1. 1能源消费总量不断增加3.1.2能源消费结构不合理3. 1.3能源消费行业结构不合理3. 1.4区域能源消费具有差异性3.2我国贸易开放发展现状3.2. 1出口贸易总量快速增长IV
B5
3.2.2出口贸易结构不断变化3.2.3出口贸易影响能源消费的趋势分析3. 3我国人口发展现状3.3. 1我国人口规模发展现状3.3.2我国人口结构发展现状3.3.3人口发展影响能源消费的趋势分析
21
3. 4本章小结 22
第四章基于空间计量的我国人口与贸易开放对能源消费影响关系的实证
研究 23
4. 1模型设定与实证方法
23
4. 1. 1研究模型 23
4. 1.2空间相关性的检验
24
4. 1.3空间计量经济模型
24
4.2数据来源及变量说明
26
4.3我国能源消费的空间计量模型实证分析
26
4.3. 1我国能源消费的空间相关性检验
26
4.3. 1. 1全域空间自相关检验
27
4.3. 1.2局域空间自相关检验
27
4.3.2空间计量模型实证结果及分析
28
4.3.2. 1全国层面空间计量分析
28
4. 3. 2. 2三大区域层面空间计量分析
31
4.4本章小结 34
鮮章政策建议
35
5. 1重视省份空间效应,协调各区能源消费
35
5.2促进节约型出口贸易政策的推进
35
5.3调整贸易结构,降低能源消费
36
5.4鼓励出口企业采用替代能源
36
5. 5控制老龄人口,实施因地制宜的老龄化政策
36
鎌 38
参考文献 39
舰 41
研究成果及发表的学术论文
42
作者和导师简介
43
V
北京化工大学硕十学位论文
Contents
Chapter 1 Introduction1.1 Background of the research1.2 Purpose and significance of the research1.2.1 The purpose1.2.2 The significance1.3 Summary of Domestic and Foreign Literature1.3.1 Study on the Relationship between Trade and Energy Consumption1.3.2 Study on the Relationship between population and Energy Consumption1.3.3 summary 5
1.4 Research ideas1.5 Research methods and research framework1.6 Innovation and shortcomingsChapter 2 The Impact of Population and Trade on Energy Consumption 9
2.1 Basic theory 9
2.1.1 Brief description of population theory2.1.2 Brief description of trade theory2.2 The mechanism of trade liberalization affecting energy consumption2.2.1 Trade liberalization affects energy consumption through economic growth2.2.2 Trade opening through industrial restructuring to affect energy consumption 12
2.2.3 Trade liberalization affects energy consumption through technological progress 13
2.3 Other factors that affect the energy consumption of the population2.3.1 Overview of influencing factors of energy consumption2.4 Summary of this chapterChapter 3 Analysis of Energy Consumption Influenced by Population and
Trade 17
3.1 Current Situation of China&39;s Energy Consumption3.1.1 Total energy consumption is increasing3.1.2 Energy consumption structure is unreasonable3.1.3 Energy consumption industry structure is irrational3.1.4 Regional energy consumption is different3.2 China&39;s Trade Development and DevelopmentVI Contents
3.2.1 Rapid growth in total export trade3.2.2 Changes in export trade structure
21
3.2.3 Analysis of Trends in Energy Consumption Influenced by Export Trade
21
3.3 Current Situation of Population D
。。。以上简介无排版格式，详细内容请下载查看
==>>