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行业关键数据更新2017年国泰君安国际24页

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Critical Sector Data Update Research Department DDòμ1üêyYüD 15 February 2017 Sector: Oil & Gas, Petrochemicals Sector: Nonferrous Metals, Precious Metal Figure 11-Y Crude Oil Prices Figure 210-Y Crude Oil Prices òê1úêóíêê1úêóí Brent Oil Spot WTI Oil Spot Dubai OilSpot YTD -0.4%-1.0%0.6% YTD YOY 74.1%68.9%90.6% wow1.0%1.6%2.8% mom0.1%1.6%0.7% yoy64.1%80.7%89.3% 52w H / L56/3254/2955/2820 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Feb-16Apr-16Jun-16Aug-16Oct-16Dec-16Feb-17 Brent Oil Spot(US$/bbl) WTI Oil Spot(US$/bbl) Dubai Oil Spot(US$/bbl)40 80 120 160 20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017 Brent Oil Spot (US$/bbl) WTI Oil Spot (US$/bbl) Dubai Oil Spot(US$/bbl) Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Figure 33-Y Domestic Gasoline & Diesel Retail Price Cap èyê1úúóí2óí×áê Gasoline (RMB /Tonne) Diesel (RMB /Tonne) YTD 0.6%0.7% YTD YOY 16.6%18.2% wow0.6%0.7% mom-0.2%-0.3% yoy 17.7%19.4% 52w H / L8036/68117120/5945 5,000.00 6,000.00 7,000.00 8,000.00 9,000.00 10,000.00 11,000.00 12,000.00 Feb/14Aug/14Feb/15Aug/15Feb/16Aug/16Feb/17 Gasoline (RMB/Tonne)Diesel (RMB/Tonne) Source: China NDRC Figure 41-Y Gold Prices & Dollar Index Figure 510-Y Gold Prices & Dollar Index òê1úêeoíàaêy êê1úêeoíàaêy Gold PriceDollar Index (RHS) YTD 6.7%-1.4% YTD YOY 7.0%2.7% wow-0.3%0.5% mom2.7%-0.4% yoy-0.6%5.0% 52w H / L1366/1128103/93 90 93 96 99 102 105 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 Feb-16Apr-16Jun-16Aug-16Oct-16Dec-16Feb-17 Gold price (USD/Oz)Dollar Index (RHS) 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 200 500 800 1,100 1,400 1,700 2,000 2,300 20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017 Gold price (USD/Oz)Dollar Index (RHS) Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg See the last page for disclaimer Critical Sector Data Update DDòμ1üêyYüD 15 February 2017Page 1 of 24 Figure 6&71-Y Copper Prices & Stock Figure 8&910-Y Copper Prices & Stock òêí-óa′êêí-óa′ LME Copper PriceLME Copper Inventory YTD 10.3%-23.1% YTD YOY 28.9% N/A wow5.4%-2.2% mom3.3%-12.0% yoy35.7%12.5% 52w H / L6106/4500379175/141075 SHFE Copper PriceSHFE Copper Inventory YTD 10.3%89.4% YTD YOY 31.7% N/A wow6.7%24.0% mom5.5%62.6% yoy37.5%15.1% 52w H / L50110/35150394777/9783950,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 Feb-16Apr-16Jun-16Aug-16Oct-16Dec-16Feb-17 LME Copper Price (USD/Tonne)LME Copper Inventory (Tonne-RHS)50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,0
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