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MBA硕士论文_峰谷电价下高耗电企业生产计划优化研究(69页).rar

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文本描述
摘要
高耗电生产企业可以按峰谷电价对应的不同电价时间段调整生产计划以达到降低
用电成本。本文以A公司大空分工厂为例,研宄了在当前产能过剩情况下生产计划的优
化,结合生产数据统计回归分析方法及己知工艺条件间工程数量关系,建立混合整数非
线性约束最低总成本模型,求解工厂多个装置的最优操作条件及开停状态作为生产调度
计划。对过进一步的模型计算,得出产品需求量-最优操作条件-最低成本之间的数量关
系及不同产品的边际成本,作为中期生产计划的成本决策及需求计划制定的依据,从而
改进了主生产计划制定流程。在生产计划的执行过程管控中,采用精益六西格玛方法,
以实际用电成本与模型预测最低用电成本的偏差而非单位产品电耗作为关键绩效指标,
对优化后生产计划执行进行过程控制,实施结果良好,经济效益明显。本文所讨论的方
法不仅在大空分行业适用,其一般性方法论也适用于其他高耗电行业如水泥、氯碱、电
解锡等,对当前经济下行大环境下,这些普遍产能过剩行业有现实的推广价值。
关键字:生产计划;峰谷电价;高耗电;优化;
第II页
华东理工大学硕士学位论文

Production Planning Optimization for Power-Intensive Plants under

Peak-Valley Electricity Price

Large Air Separation as Example

Abstract

Power-intensive manufacturing plants can utilize Peak-Valley electricity price to adjust

production corresponding to different price time periods achieve lower electricity costs. This

paper based on a real large air separation site, studied the optimization of the production plan

by combining the actual production data statistical regression analysis with engineering

mathematical model, to build the mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) power cost

model, the model can predict the best optimal operating mode and the target lowest power

cost against different demanding for products, thus the optimized power cost and incremental

cost could be calculated and used as inputs for Master Production Scheduling, thereby a

significant improving the production planning process comparing using average power

consumption as basis. Implementing the new production planning and execution work process

by using Lean Six Sigma methodology, with setting new KPI focus on reducing the gap of

actual power cost and target power cost predicted by the optimization model, the preliminary

results of satisfying economic benefit. The methodology developed in this paper is workable

not only benefit the large air separation company, but also applicable to other power-intensive

industries such as cement, chlor-alkali, aluminum etc. while it happens economic down turn

and over-capacity in these industries currently and in the future.

Keywords: Production planning; Power-intensive; Peak-valley electricity price;

Optimization; Air separation plants