摘要
本文研究了核聚变在中国能源市场的发展与实施战略,因此,本文既涉及到多种
能源的发展战略,也涉及到国际化的核聚变发展能源战略,并由此提出了相关的新能
源技术在未来中国应用的可能性
诚然,中国的环境和能源问题对健康发展新能源存在很大的压力,进来的研究更
多地强调放弃依赖煤炭、发展清洁的新能源。核聚变的选择为这一思路提供了理想的
多样化选择,同时也提供了迎接未来发展清洁能源的挑战
核聚变的一个重要特征就是它有能力提供几乎是无限的能源,但是,在满足完全
可能的利用核聚变所有潜力之前,还不能解决工程技术上的挑战
本文研究了中国在20502100年间的“可再生能源替代”长期发展战略选择的可
能途径,在对能源本身进行了调研基础上,观测了中国目前的能源发展态势,制定了
未来能源的主要驱动导向和发展趋势;在预估了 2050年中国的能源场景的基础上,提
出了 2050年到核聚变发展阶段的早期这段时间,中国的核聚变在未来能源市场中的发
展战略。最后,作者强调了在中国能源市场上所具有的、很强的应用核聚变这一能源
潜力的特有未来场景,并提出了相应的实施战略和发展途径
关键词:核聚变;中国能源市场的发展战略,新能源发展和实施战略
Abstract
This master thesis deals with the implementation of Nuclear Fusion in the Chinese energy market.
Hence, it investigates both the development of its energy mix and nuclear fusion internationally.
Emerging questions arise about the possible usage of the new technology.
Admittedly, China environmental and energy issues are pressuring a more healthy development,
Recent studies emphasis abandonment of coal reliance and developing clean new energies.
The Nuclear Fusion option could be a solution to fulfil multiple current and future challenges.
One of the Characteristics of Nuclear Fusion is its ability to provide almost infinite energy. However,
few engineering challenges are yet to be overcome before meeting full adoption potential.
This thesis presents a pathway towards “an alternative to renewable energies with one possible
role for nuclear fusion in the long-term from 2050 to 2100. After investigating the energy itself,
observation is being made of China present time energy situation, followed by the major drivers
leading the trends. Finally an estimated situation of the energy scene in 2050 is proposed before
laying the path to a possible introduction of Nuclear Fusion in 2050 to early development stages.
in the end, the author highlights the strong application potential in a China-specific scenario for
nuclear fusion energy. The author presents then the conditions to facilitate the implementation and
gear-up such a development.
Keywords: Nuclear Fusion; China's Energy Market; Development Strategy, Implementation, New
Energy