分析了行业的发展现状、特点、市场需求和价格预测。

介绍了项目的实施策略和进度计划:项目分两期实施,一期工程产量不变,二期
完成后,甲醇总产量从30万吨/年增加至80万吨/年,MTG能力从10万吨/年达到30
万吨/年。

根据项目新建设施进行了投资估算,采用增量法和有无项目法进行了财务分析,
得出项目的税前及税后财务内部收益率均大于行业基准收益率,盈利能力满足了行业
要求,项目在财务上是可行的。论证了煤制油项目实施的现实性和良好的经济效益和
社会效益。

关键词:煤制油,市场,价格,投资估算,财务分析
Abstract
This thesis is based on a coal-to-oil project which is implemented by XX Group Co., Ltd.
In it, the basic principles, types and uses of coal-to-oil have been analyzed. Coal-to-oil
includes direct liquefaction and indirect liquefaction. It can be used to produce petro and
chemical products such as gasoline, kerosene, synthetic wax, ammonia, ethylene, propylene,
a-alkene etc.
the present situation and characteristics of coal-to-oil industry as well as the market demands
for coal-to-oil have also been analyzed in the thesis, and the price of coal-to-oil has been
forecast. ‘
The implementary strategy and the process plan has been introduced. This project will be
implemented in two phases. The output of Phase One will not change. However, after the
completion of Phase Two,the total output of methanol will be increased from 30 KT/Y to 80
KT/Y, and the MTG productivity will also be raised from 10 KT/Y to 30 KT/Y.
The investment estimation has been made based on the new constructed facilities.
Financial analysis has been made by using incremental method and with/without project
comparison method. The results of the above estimation and analysis show that the financial
internal rate of return is bigger than the benchmark yield of the industry, and the profitability
has reached the industrial standard. So, this project is financially feasible. The feasibility and
the good economy and social benefits of the coal-to-oil project have been proved.
key words: coal-to-oil; market; price; investment estimation; financial analysis