To D Plans Co., Ltd / 致帝鹏工程咨询（上海）有限公司 2011.05.20 Report meeting for Cixi Agricultural Science and Technology Ecology Park / 慈溪正大农业科技生态园项目 定位报告 Main Content / 汇报内容 ⅠProject background & resource Ⅱ Reference Case from abroad & domestic Ⅴ Planning & Products design Ⅲ Market Insights of Residential, Commercial & Hotel Ⅳ Project positioning Table of Content 目录 Ⅰ 项目背景 Ⅱ 国内外案例借鉴 Ⅲ 住宅，酒店，商业市场研究 Ⅴ 项目规划与产品 Ⅳ 项目定位 ⅤI Financial analysis ⅤI 财务分析 Project background & resource 项目背景与资源 Urban spatial development planning / 城市空间发展规划 Urban tourism planning / 城市旅游规划 Planning of Cixi Agricultural Science and Technology Ecology Park / 慈溪现代农业开发区规划 Site condition & developer resource / 土地条件与开发商资源 近几年，无论是GDP总量还是人均GDP，在宁波三个县级市中，慈溪市都遥遥领先，并且每年保持增长。 Cixi macroeconomic analysis /慈溪市整体经济情况分析 慈溪市经济基础雄厚，并一直保持着稳定的增长，为项目未来的发展提供了良好的宏观环境。 GDP (单位/Unit: 十亿元/Billion RMB) per capita GDP (单位/Unit: 元/RMB) Cixi city has a solid economic foundation and demonstrated a stable economy growth, which provides a favorable macro environment for the project. Whether GDP or per GDP, Cixi take the lead position among three county-gradecities and kept growing for the past five successive years. 慈溪目前产业结构中第二产业占比超过整个宁波市区水平。政府正努力调整产业结构，努力发展第三产业，并把第三产业比重的增加值作为政府考核指标之一。 Cixi industries analysis/慈溪市产业结构分析 慈溪市现阶段产业结构中第二产业比例偏大，未来政府正着力发展第三产业，对本项目的发展有良好的支持。 2009年 慈溪市产业结构构成 Industries Structure of Cixi City for 2009 2009年 慈溪市第三产业结构构成 Tertiary Industries Structure of Cixi City for 2009 慈溪第三产业结构中，房地产产业比重较高。在其他服务业中，政府鼓励发展旅游业，并相应出台了一系列鼓励政策，例如成立慈溪市旅游业发展引导资金等。 Currently secondary industry is taking the biggest portion of Cixi industry structure. Local government is exert itself on tertiary industry development, which will be very supportive for our project. The ratio of Cixi’s secondary industry is far beyond Ningbo’s average level, making the government adapting industry structure and encourage tertiary industry development. Among tertiary industry, Real-estate takes the biggest portion; Local government is endeavoring tourism development and delivered some incentives like tourism development fund. 慈溪市历年游客接待数持续上升，特别是杭州湾跨海大桥通车后的2009年，接待数教2008年一年翻了一番。但是未来2010年世博会没有给慈溪带来预计的客流。 Cixi industries analysis/慈溪市旅游业总体情况分析 慈溪市旅游产业近几年稳步发展，2010年整个旅游产业收入对GDP贡献值在3.5%左右。预计慈溪市的外来游客人数保持相对稳定，不会有突发性增长。 慈溪历年游客接待数（百万） Tourist to Cixi over 5 years （million) 慈溪市历年景点门票收入 （百万元） Incomes of Scenic Spots in Cixi over 5 years.（million RMB) 慈溪市历年景点门票收入总体保持增长趋势。杭州湾大桥通车当年（2008年），景点门票收入是前一年的三倍，但随后的2年又开始回落。 预计慈溪旅游市场不再会受事件性影响，未来游客数保持相对稳定。跨海大桥对杭州湾北部人群的引入作用也不再明显。 Cixi tourism industry developed with a a steady pace over these years. Tourism industry income is versus about 3.5% of total GPD in 2010. It is estimated tourists number will remain a stable gradewithout sudden increase. Tourists to Cixi grow sustainedly these five years. Especially in 2009, the year after Hangzhou Bay bridge opened, Tourists number was doubled. However the effect of 2010 EXOP was not obvious. Scenic Spots income in Cixi also kept a general growth trend. 2008, the year of Hangzhou Bay bridge opened, income was triple of 2007’s. However, it fell back to normal lever in the next 2years. All in all, we estimated Cixi tourism market will not affected by big events and tourists number will keep still. Hangzhou bay will bring limited population from its northern bank.