摘要
入境旅游与地区经济发展的关系间接反映了入境旅游需求和供给结构的合理性、
入境旅游客源地和目的地空间结构的匹配性。中国31个省区市的经济发展水平各不相
同，在旅游发展过程中旅游资源的开发水平及服务设施接待能力差异较大，入境旅游
也呈现不同的发展趋势。因此研究入境旅游与地区经济发展的协调程度及其驱动因素，
有助于精准把握两系统的相互作用机制，构建更符合产业运行规律的政策体系，促进
地区间的合作交流，缩小发展差距。有助于旅游目的地环境的改善和国际市场营销战
略的改进，为疫后入境旅游的长期稳定发展提供参考依据。
本文选取我国 31个省区市为研究对象，对2010-2019年各地区入境旅游与经济发
展水平进行评价，进而引入耦合协调度模型，从时间和空间的角度分析了入境旅游与
地区经济发展耦合协调度的演化特征；最后运用地理探测器模型，探究了两系统耦合
协调发展的主要驱动力。得出主要结论有：（1）研究期内，各地区的入境旅游发展水
平波动不定；地区经济发展演变趋势较为平稳。两系统在空间上均存在明显的不均衡。
（2）全国大部分地区入境旅游与地区经济发展的耦合协调度保持“升 -降-升”的态势。
整体协调水平偏低，呈东高西低的分布格局。（3）中国入境旅游与地区经济发展的耦
合协调度存在显著地空间集聚现象，随着时间的推移，聚集程度有所下降。（ 4）资本
要素为入境旅游与地区经济发展耦合协调空间分异主要驱动力，制度与资源要素次之，
技术与结构要素对耦合协调水平空间布局的解释力相对较弱。（5）各驱动因子交互后
对耦合协调水平空间分布的驱动作用明显高于单一驱动因子。资本、资源、技术、制
度、结构各要素的融合可有效提升入境旅游与地区经济发展的耦合协调水平。
关键词：入境旅游；地区经济；耦合协调关系；驱动力
I
Abstract
The relationship between inbound tourism and regional economic development indirectly
reflects the rationality of inbound tourism demand and supply structure, and the matching of
inbound tourist source and destination spatial structure. The economic development level of 31
provinces in China is different, which leads to great differences in the development level of
tourism resources and the reception capacity of service facilities in the process of tourism
development, and inbound tourism also presents different development trends. Therefore, the
research on the coordination degree and driving factors of inbound tourism and regional
economic development will help to accurately grasp the interaction mechanism of the two
systems, build a policy system more in line with the law of industrial operation, and promote
cooperation and exchanges between regions. narrow the development gap. It is helpful to the
improvement of tourism destination environment and international marketing strategy, and
provides a reference basis for the long-term and stable development of inbound tourism after
the epidemic.
This paper selects 31 provinces and regions in China as the research object to evaluate the
level of inbound tourism and economic development in various regions from 2010 to 2019. And
then, using Coupled Coordination Evaluation Model to analyze the evolution characteristics of
the coupling andcoordination degree between inboundtourism and regional economic
development from the perspective of time and space. Finally, the main driving force of the
coupling and coordinated development of the two systems is explored by the Geographic
Detector Model. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) During the study period, the
development level of inbound tourism in different regions fluctuates. The evolution trend of
regional economic development is relatively stable. Both of them have obvious disequilibrium
in space, showing the characteristics of "strong in the east and weak in the west" as a whole. (2)
The coupling coordination degree of inbound tourism and regional economic development in
most parts of the country maintains the trend of "rising-falling-rising". However, the overall
coordination level is low, showing a distribution pattern of high in the east and low in the west.
The southeast coastal area with a high level of coordination is only primary coordination and
II