摘要 粮食物流是全社会物流的重要组成部分。加快发展现代粮食物流，对降低交易成本， 提高流通效率，促进经济社会全面可持续发展有重要意义。我国粮食物流事业的发展方 兴未艾，华南粮食配送中心的发展更是一张白纸，可谓任重而道远。对于东莞乃至广东 建设物流中心的研究，具有重要的理论和现实意义。 可行性研究是本文所要研究的华南粮食配送中心建设过程中首要的和关键的工作。 首先，在市场调查、需求分析的基础上，确定出本项目的市场定位和总体布局。其次， 对开发项目的建设条件进行了分析研究，确定了项目建设的方案设计。再次，对市场需 求进行预测，确定配送的种类、流向和规模。最后，从项目效益方面进行评价，编制了 投资估算表，成本、收入和利润估算表等，并对这些数据进行分析研究，计算出财务内 部收益率、投资回收期、投资利润率等主要评价指标，考察该项目的财务状况;通过盈 亏平衡分析评价该项目的风险大小，最终得出结论:认为该项目具有明显的经济效益和 一定的社会效益，该项目的开发是可行的。 关键词，项目管理；可行性研究；华南粮食配送中心物流项目建设；效益评价II Abstract The grain logistics is the important component of the social logistics. To speed up the de velopment of modern grain logistics, to reduce transaction costs, improve circulation efficien cy, is of great significance to promote the comprehensive and sustainable economic and socia l development. The development of grain logistics industry in our country be just unfolding, t he development of Southern China food distribution center is a piece of white paper, is a long way to go. Study on Dongguan and Guangdong logistics center construction, has important t heoretical and practical significance. The feasibility study is the first and key work of distribution center construction process of S outhern China food in this paper to study the in. Firstly, based on the market investigation, th e demand analysis, to determine the market positioning and the overall layout of the project. Secondly, on the development of the project construction conditions were studied to determin e the design project, construction scheme. Thirdly, to forecast the market demand, determine t he type of distribution, direction and scale. Finally, the evaluation of project benefits, the esti mated investment, cost, revenue and profit estimation table, and of the analysis of these data, the main index to calculate the financial internal rate of return, investment recovery period, th e profit rate of investment, the project's financial situation; through the profit and loss balance analysis and evaluation of the project's risk, finally draws the conclusion: that the project has obvious economic benefits and social benefits, the project is feasible. Key words: Project management； Feasibility study； The Southern China grain logistics and distribution center construction project； Benefit evaluationIII 目录目录 1 前言 ................................................................................................................................................................1 1.1 报告研究的背景和意义 ........................................................................................................................ 1 1.2 相关研究综述和评析 ............................................................................................................................ 1 1.3 报告所采用的研究方法和技术路线..................................................................................................... 2 2 项目建设背景.................................................................................................................................................3 2.1 我国粮食物流特点和发展趋势 ............................................................................................................ 3 2.2 广东省粮食物流状况 ............................................................................................................................ 5 2.3 项目所在地物流发展环境 .................................................................................................................... 7 2.4 项目建设的必要性分析 ...................................................................................................................... 11 2.5 项目态势分析 ...................................................................................................................................... 13 3 项目规划设计方案.......................................................................................................................................14 3.1 项目组成 .............................................................................................................................................. 14 3.2 项目规划方案 ...................................................................................................................................... 15 3.3 粮食配送工艺方案 .............................................................................................................................. 18 3.4 建筑方案 .............................................................................................................................................. 22 3.5 结构方案 .............................................................................................................................................. 25 3.6 给排水和消防 ...................................................................................................................................... 26 3.7 供配电系统 .......................................................................................................................................... 29 3.8 网络与通信 .......................................................................................................................................... 33 3.9 项目信息化和智能化建设 .................................................................................................................. 36 4 项目市场预测...............................................................................................................................................38 4.1 项目储存配送的粮食种类 .................................................................................................................. 38 4.2 项目粮食流向 ...................................................................................................................................... 39 4.3 粮食储存配送规模预测 ...................................................................................................................... 39 5 项目建设的效益评价...................................................................................................................................40 5.1 社会效益评价 ...................................................................................................................................... 40 5.2 财务效益评价 ...................................................................................................................................... 41 5.3 经济效益评价 ...................................................................................................................................... 43 5.4 国民经济效益 ...................................................................................................................................... 45 5.5 项目风险分析 ...................................................................................................................................... 46 6 研究结论与建议...........................................................................................................................................48 6.1 报告研究的主要结论 .......................................................................................................................... 48 6.2 项目研究建议