胜利油田是中国第二大石油生产基地,现有油井20930口,每年需外购各类油管 管体30000余吨其中J55管体占70%以上,抽油泵泵筒坯管1000多吨。如果在胜 利油田建设一条精密厚壁ERW焊管生产线,采用ERw(eleCtricresistancewelded) 焊管代替上述两种用途的管,可以解决胜利油田长期高价外购J55油管管体和抽油泵 泵筒的问题,大幅度地降低生产成本。 本文根据投资项目可行性研究和财务评价理论,对ERW焊管项目进行了投资 可行性研究。全文共分为四个部分:第一部分相关理论概述;第二部分市场环境 分析,从焊管行业国内外市场现状、项目投资环境、主要产品市场方面进行细致 的分析;第三部分生产方案确定,进行了项目的产品方案、生产规模、生产工艺 选取、原材料供应、设备选取、车间布局、组织结构和人员设置等工作;第四部 分项目的投资估算和财务分析与评价,进行了详实的投资估算、财务指标评价、 不确定性分析,指出了项目的敏感性因素。最后,对项目投资做出了可行性结论 和建议。 关键词:投资项目,可行性研究,财务评价硕士报告TF公司精密厚壁ERW焊管项目可行性研究 Ab5traet 卜 月, Shengli011Field15theseeondlargest011一yieldingbaseinChina.It has20930011wells.AnditneedtoPurehaseallkindsofvittas’duet一bodies morethan30000tons,thereintoduet一bodyJ55aeeountingforuPwardsof70%, andthe011一takeingoutPumps’eanisterpiPesmorethan1000tons.IfaProduet 1ineofexaetandthiekERW(eleetrieresistaneewelded)Pipe15builtin Shengli011Field,substitutingERWPIPeforabovetwokindsofduets,the problemoflong一termbuyingtheduet一bodyJ55andthe011一takeingoutpumps’ eanisterPIPesineostlinesswillberevolved,andtheProduetioneostwill beredueed. Aeeordingtothefeasibilityresearehandthefinaneialevaluated theoriesofinvestingitem,thefeasibilityoftheERWitem15researehed. Thisartiele15dividedintofourseetions.Theoriessullllnarizationinthe firstPart.Marketingenvironment15analyzedintheseeondPart,ineluding thewelding一duetindustry’5marketingstatusquohomeandaboard,the investingenvironmentofitem,themainproduets’marketsituation,andete. ProduetionProjeet15eonfirmedinthethirdPart,ineludingtheitem’s ProduetProjeet,Produetionseale,Produetionartsanderafts’seleetion, aeeonunodationofrawmaterials,equiPments’seleetion,workshops arrangement,organizationstruetureandPersonnel’5arrangement,andete. Theestimation,finaneialanalysisandevaluationofthisinvestingitem15 earriedoutinthefourthPart,ineludingdetailedinvestingestimation, finaneialindexes’evaluation,uneertaintyanalysis,andthesensitive faetorsofthisitem15indieated.Intheend,thefeasibilityeonelusionand suggestionofinvestingitem15Putforward. Keywords:investingitem,feasibilityreseareh,finaneialevaluation II硕士报告TF公司精密厚壁ERW焊管项目可行性研究 目录 摘要.........................................................................................................................I ABSTRACT........................................................................................................................11 目录......................................................................................................................In 引言......................................................................”...........................................1 1可行性研究理论概述..............................................................................................3 1.1可行性研究.......................................................................................................3 1 . 2可行性研究的作用..................................................................................、..3 1 . 3工业新建项目可行性研究的主要内容...........................................................4 1 . 4投资估算和财务评价与分析...........................................................................4 1 . 4 . 了扮 ‘ 贾必算与贯盆筹潜................................................................................4 1 . 4 . 2 砂 群务评毋与…分沂.........,.............................................................,....J 了.4.3不撇启趁分沂............................................................................................d 2市场分析..................................................................................................................7 2.1焊管行业国外市场现状...........,..............................................................7 2 . 2焊管行业国内市场现状................................................................................8 2.3项目投资环境分析........................................................................................9 2.3.1企业时宏赓环境分沂 ........................... 、......,.,.................,..9 2.3.2厅业绪匆分沂 .................... ,...........................................................了2 2.3.3企业时尉刃环漪分沂..........................................................................14 2 . 4主要产品市场分析......................................................................................15 2.4.1泌产营...............................、............................................................I万 2.4.2撇汹泉泵育营...................,............................................................佰 2.4.3潜密厚壁次耐耸 .................................................................................. 了百 2.4.4溉俄压叙沪营 ...................................................................................... 17 3生产方案选取........................................................................................................18 3.1产品方案及生产规模的确定......................................................................18 3.2生产工艺方案的确定..................................................................................19 O矛口门,声孟,‘3.2.了 3.2.2 库涝淤办营生{产工艺 潜密厚壁营生{产工艺 111硕士报告TF公司精密厚壁ERW焊管项目可行性研究 3.2.3工艺过窟朦述 ............................................................................. ,...2j 3.2.4万刀邢全产纷主要淤才参妙....................................,................,.....2了 3.3原料、辅助材料、燃料动力的供应..............................,...................,.22 3.4设备、设施的选取..,................................,..........................,.....22 3.5厂址及车间布局..........................................................................................23 3.6组织机构和岗位定员...,........................................................................23 4项目投资估算和财务评价与分析........................................................................28 4.1投资项目各项资产投资估算......................................................................28 4.了.了丧袭楼黔气受芹召算:..............................................................................28 4.1.2蔗动贯洽召算:......................................................................................29 4.了.3贯盆筹着..............................,..........................................................了I 4 . 2投资项目财务分析与评价.............................................................................31 4.2.了财务评毋寡础数雳与参疑迷聊...........................................................刀 4.2.2项刀教刀多预洲...............................................................,............32 4.3编制现金流量表..........................................................................................36 4.4投资项目静态财务分析与评价.....................................................................37 4.4.1扮 ‘ 戴回戎溯..............,.....................................................................37 4.4.2投贾匆海率 ........................................................................................... 37 4.4.3贫贯秒赛率...........................................................................................38 4 . 5投资项目动态财务分析与评价................................................,...........38 4.5.了净珊道横潭夸评斑方居,......................................................................38 4.5.2力诊那酬单祺潭J与;尹毋芳法...............................................................了9 4 . 6不确定性分析.................................................................................................40 4.6.了雳亏乎衡分沂..................................................