项目所在地商丘市,处于豫鲁皖苏四省结合部该项目的建设对于完善区域公路网 结构!改善当地投资环境!发展旅游事业,带动鲁西南!皖西北及豫东区域的社会经济 发展具有重要作用 报告针对拟建的商丘一周口高速公路商丘段二期工程进行可行性研究首先对项目 影响区域的经济现状和发展环境进行充分的调查分析,对该项目直接影响区的交通运输 环境进行了详细研究;对项目影响区的客!货车辆进行OD调查,掌握了交通量在时间! 空间上的变化和分布规律采用/四阶段法0对未来交通发生量!吸引量!交通量分布! 交通出行方式以及交通量分配进行了预测运用公路工程相关理论,确定了公路等级! 设计速度!横断面等技术标准运用交通工程理论,对本项目的通行能力和服务水平进 行了分析,拟定了两个备选路线方案,并对备选方案进行技术分析比较,得出推荐方案 进而对推荐方案进行投资估算,对项目区域的国民经济效益以及财务盈利能力和贷款偿 还能力进行了评价结果表明:从宏观上看,该项目国民经济效益良好;从微观上看, 项目总体具有盈利能力和贷款偿还能力,项目投资在财务上是可行的 关键词:高速公路,可行性研究,交通预测,技术分析,经济评价AbstfaCt ProjeetsiteShangqiueity,inHenan,Shandong,Anhui,andJiangsufourProvinee interseetions.TheeonstruetionofthisProjeet,forimProvingthestmetureofregionalnetwork ofhighways,imProvingtheloealinvestmentenvironmeni,develoPingtouristindustry,drive thesocialeeonomicdeveloPmentofsouthwestofShandong,thenorthwestofAnhuiandeast areaofHenanProvineetohaveimPortantfunction. PaperstoeonduetafeasibilitystudyoftheseeondPhaseofShangqiuwhich15Partof Shangqiu一ZhoukouexPressway.InflueneeeeonomieeurrentsituationanddeveloPment environmentoftheareatoearryonabundantinvestigationandanalysistotheProjeetatfirst, theenvironmeniofcommunicationsandtransPortationoftheinfluencingareahasearriedon detailedresearchdirectlytothisProjeet;TOtheaffeetedareasofPassengerandgoodsvehieles ODsurvey,15ineontroloftraffieatthetime,sPaeeandchangesinthedistribution.The0four stages0ofthefutureoeeurreneeoftraffievolume,toattracttraffie,traffiedistribution, transPortationandtravelaswellasthedistributionoftrafficwasforecast.Theuseofhighway engineeringtheorytodeterminethelevelofhighwaydesignsPeed,cross一seetional,andother technicalstandards.Usethetraffieengineeringtheory,thetraffiecapaeitytothisProjeetand servieelevelhavebeenanalyzed,drafttwoalternativeroutesehemes,andeomPare teehnologiealanalysistothealtemativeseheme,obtainthesehemeofreeommending.To recommendseheme90on,maketheinvestment,estimate,apPraisetoProjeetnational eeonomiebenefitsandfinaneialProfitabilityandloanrePa外ngabilitiesofarea.Theresult shows:hiviewofmaeroseoPie,thenationaleeorlomiebenefitsofthisProjectaregood;In vlewofmierocosmie,theProjeethasProfitab,lltyandloanrePa如ngabilitiesoverallly,it15 feasibletomakeaninvestmentinfinaneialaffalrs一rlPrO-jeet. Keywords:Highway;Feasibilitystudy;Tr川leforecast:TeehniealAnalysis;Eeonomie 以aluation目录 第一章 1.1 绪论 可行性研究综述 1.2国内外建设项目对可行性研究................................,.....................................2 1.2.1国外对可行性研究的规定....................,..............................................2 1,2.2国内对可行性研究的规定...............,二,....,.,二!............................3 1.3项目概况........,.................................................................................................4 1.4研究内容.,..................................................,....,..........................................5 第二章现状评价及发展环境...................................................................................,6 2.1项目影响区的社会经济状况.........................................................................,6 2.1.1商丘市国民经济发展状况.................,...........,......................,6 2.1.2周口市国民经济发展状况.........................................................................6 2.2项目区域未来社会经济发展目标...........,...............................................,6 2.2.1商丘市社会经济发展目标........................................................................7 2.2.2周口市社会经济发展目标.....,.............................................................7 2.3项目区域交通运输状况及发展趋势...................................................................7 2.3.1项目直接影响区交通运输现状.................................................................7 2.3.2目的必要性和紧迫性.............,.............................................................9 第三章交通分析及预测................................................................................................11 3.1交通调查及分析....................,.....,......,......,............................,.,11 3.1.1交通调查的目的和内容...........................................................................11 3.1.2现有道路的流量调查及分析............................................................!.,.,11 3.1.3OD调查及分析...........................................,...........,...................17 3.1.4铁路运输量调查................................................................................,.,22 3.2交通量预测.........................................................................................................23 3.2.1预测的基本考虑.....-........,............................................................23 3.2.2预测的基本方法与步骤...........................................................................24 3.2.3集中发生预测..........................................................................................25 3.2.4交通分布预测.,........,............................,................................犯 3.2.5诱增交通.................................................................................................35 3.2.6转移交通...................................................,.......................................37 3.2.7交通量分配......................!_.........................!..,..........37 第四章技术标准.............................................,......................................................44 4.1公路等级和设计标准..................................................................................44 4.1.1车道数的计算......................,...............................,.........444.1.2横断面拟定.........................................................................................#....#45 6了O户00900000000-11.,l几J44q勺-J亡!q-U成U70.月了/d..呼乙月.兮月444j.-Jqta-J-J-J-J工!Jq勺-J--J-J-JqIa4.2通行能力及服务水平分析 4.2.1通行能力 4.2.2服务水平 第五章备选方案拟定...........................................................,.................................. 5.1建设条件...................................,............................................................. 5.1.1自然地理条件.....,............................................................,............ 5.1.2地质构造及地震................................................................................ 5.1.3工程地质及水文地质............................................................................... 5.1.4区域水文分析........................................................................................... 5.1.5主要相交道路!铁路概况...................,............................................. 5.1.6土地资源与主路材料............................................................................... 5.1.7社会环境分析........................................................................................... 5.1.8拟建项目与其他交通衔接情况............................................................... 5.2路线方案..........................,.....,....................,...................................... 00000,产q,q,-q666了Dq6666 5.2.1选线原则..................... 5.2.2主要控制因素............. 5.2.3项目起点..................... 5.2.4项目终点..................... 5.2.5文物分布区与城镇控制点 5.2.6工程控制点......... 5.2.7路线方案比选............. 5.2.8推荐路线方案............. 第六章投资估算及资金筹措.......... 6.1投资估算 6.1.1编制依据................................................................................................... 6.1.2编制范围二,................................................................................................ 6.1.3人工材料单价及各项费率取定...............,.......