随着公路行业的不断发展，高等级公路穿越城市的情况越来越多,高等级公路运输 在推动地方经济发展的过程中具有重要的作用。但高速公路项目所具有的特点如大量的 资金投入、土地占用以及资源消耗等，使高速公路项目具有较大风险。因此，进行高速 公路项目可行性研究是项目立项的重要依据，为项目的后续提供重要的基础。 S201 线克拉玛依过境段公路是新疆维吾尔自治区公路建设规划中重要的组成部分， 项目的完成对促进区域的经济发展有重要作用。本文根据公路项目可行性研究的相关理 论，对项目实施的相关问题进行分析，以期为项目的顺利完成提供指导和帮助。 本文共分为五个部分：第一章主要明确了项目建设的背景、目的与意义，并对国内 外相关研究现状进行了分析。第二章首先对项目所在区域的概况和社会环境进行了描述， 并就社会环境与拟建项目的相互影响及相互作用进行了分析，然后在分析项目区域内交 通现状和发展规划的基础上，对项目影响区域内的交通量进行了预测和敏感性分析。第 三章从项目建设条件、建设标准及规模两个方面分析了项目的技术可行性。第四章进行 了项目的经济可行性分析，本章首先对项目的投资进行了估算，并制定了资金的筹措方 案。第五章对项目的环境、节能、和社会影响进行了评价。 关键词：高速公路项目；可行性研究；交通量预测；节能评价II Abstract Withthecontinuousdevelopmentofthehighwayindustry,thehigh gradehighwaythrough the city is more and more, high grade highway transport in the process of promoting local economic development has an important role.But the characteristics of the highway project has such as large capital investment, land occupation and consumption of resources, the highway project has a greater risk.Therefore, the feasibility study of highway project is an important basis for the project, and provides an important basis for the follow-up of the project. S201 line Karamay crossing section of the highway is an important part of the highway construction planningin the XinjiangUygurAutonomous Region, the completion of the project to promote regional economic development has an important role. According to the theory of highway project feasibility study, this paper analyzes the related problems of the project implementation, in order to provide guidance and help for the successful completion of the project. This article is divided into five parts: the first chapter mainly defines the background, purpose and significance of the project construction, and analyzes the relevant research status at home and abroad. The second chapter first on local conditions and social environment are described, and has carried on the analysis on the social environment and the proposed project of the mutual influence and interaction, then on the traffic situation and development planning within the project area analysis, traffic volumes of the project affected area of prediction and sensitivity analysis. The third chapter analyzes the technical feasibility of the project from two aspects of the project construction conditions, construction standards and scale. In the fourth chapter, the economic feasibility of the project is analyzed. In this chapter, the investment of the project is estimated, and the financing plan is established. In the fifth chapter, the environment, energy saving, and social impact of the project were evaluated. Key words: Highway project; feasibility study; traffic volume forecast; energy conservation appraisalIII 目 录 第 1 章 绪论....................................................................................................................1 1.1 报告研究的背景及意义......................................................................................1 1.1.1 报告研究的背景.......................................................................................1 1.1.2 研究的目的与价值...................................................................................3 1.2 国内外研究情况分析..........................................................................................3 1.2.1 项目可行性研究文献综述.......................................................................3 1.2.2 项目经济文献综述...................................................................................4 1.2.3 项目技术可行性研究现状.......................................................................4 1.2.4 高速公路项目文献综述...........................................................................5 1.3 报告内容及技术路线..........................................................................................5 1.3.1 报告研究的主要内容...............................................................................5 1.3.2、报告研究的方法和技术路线................................................................6 第 2 章 S201 线克拉玛依过境段公路实施必要性分析.................................................7 2.1 研究区域概况......................................................................................................7 2.2 项目影响区经济发展规划及趋势......................................................................8 2.2.1 发展规划...................................................................................................8 2.2.2 发展趋势.................................................................................................10 2.3 主要社会经济指标预测....................................................................................11 2.3.1 预测思路.................................................................................................11 2.3.2 预测结果.................................................................................................11 2.4 交通量预测........................................................................................................12 2.4.1 交通量预测的总体思路.........................................................................12 2.4.2 交通量预测方法.....................................................................................12 2.4.3 交通生成预测.........................................................................................12 2.4.4 交通分布预测.........................................................................................15 2.4.5 交通分配.................................................................................................17IV 2.4.6 项目转移交通量预测............................................................................. 19 2.4.7 项目诱增交通量预测............................................................................. 19 2.4.8 交通预测结果......................................................................................... 21 2.5 建设的必要性.................................................................................................... 23 2.6 本章小结............................................................................................................ 24 第 3 章 S201 线克拉玛依过境段公路工程技术可行性分析 ...................................... 25 3.1 建设条件分析.................................................................................................... 25 3.1.1 自然地理条件......................................................................................... 25 3.1.2 筑路材料及运输条件............................................................................. 30 3.2 拟建道路技术标准选择.................................................................................... 30 3.2.1 公路等级选择论证................................................................................. 30 3.2.2 设计速度的选择..................................................................................... 32 3.2.3 路基宽度的确定..................................................................................... 33 3.2.4 拟建项目通行能力分析......................................................................... 33 3.3 主要技术指标.................................................................................................... 35 3.4 推荐方案概况.................................................................................................... 36 3.4.1 路线走向、起终点及主要控制点......................................................... 36 3.4.2 主要技术经济指标、建设规模.............