可行性研究是在建设前期对工程项目的一种考察和鉴定,对拟建项目进行 全面!综合的技术经济研究和系统分析,通过技术经济论证,作出是否进行该 项目的决定(可行或不可行)的一门综合性科学,它是建设项目立项!决策的 主要依据本报告针对灾后重建公路改造工程可行性研究中一些问题的基本理 论方法进行了探讨,主要包括交通量预测!经济评价!方案拟定及比选等 以国道213线川主寺至汉川段公路改造建设项目为研究对象,依据上述理 论方法,主要从以下几个方面对该项目进行了可行性研究:项目影响区社会经 济!交通运输现状及发展预测!技术标准论证!路线备选方案拟定!工程环境 影响分析!投资估算!经济评价及财务分析!节能评价和建设实施方案等,从 而得出该项目建设必要性的结论研究表明,针对灾后重建公路的改建工程, 本方法在技术上可行!经济上合理,可在其他同类项目中推广应用 关键词:公路;改造工程;可行性研究;交通量预测:经济评价;方案选择西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第n页 Abstraet FeasibilitystUdy15aeomPrehensivesubjectthatProvidesinvestigationand identificationfortheProject,offersgeneralandintegratedtechniealeeonomie studyandsystematieanalysisforthePlannedProjeet,andProvidestheevideneeto doitornot勿theteehniealeeonomiestudy.It15thePrim田下basistotheProjeet establishlnentanddeeision.InthisP即er,someProblemsaboutthefeasibilitystudy ofreeons仃uctedhighwayPo巧eetarediscussed,ineludingtraffieforeeasting, eeonomieevaluationandscher以ealtemative,and50on. 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Keywords:Highway:ReeonstruetedP哟ect;Feasibilitystudy:Traffieforeeasting; Eeonomieevaluation;Schemealternative西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第111页 目录 第1章绪论.........................................................................................................1 1.1研究方法概述...................,...................................................................1 1.2有关理论的研究现状........................................................,..................3 1.2.1交通量预测..........................................................................................3 1.2.2经济评价.....................................................................,......,....,4 1.2.3公路建设项目环境影响分析..............................................................6 1.2.4方案选择..............................................................................................7 1.3本文研究的主要内容.................................................................................8 第2章项目影响区现状及发展..........................................................................9 2.1项目概况.....................................................................................................9 2.2项目影响区域社会经济现状...................................................................10 2.2.1四川省社会经济现状.........................................................................10 2.2.2阿坝州社会经济现状,................................,.................................10 2.2.3汉川县社会经济现状.........................................................................n 2.3社会经济发展预测...................................................................................12 2.3.1预测基本思路与内容,.................................................................12 2.3.2主要经济指标预测..,...................................................................12 2.3.3社会经济预测结果分析....................................................................14 2.4交通运输现状及发展规划.......................................................................巧 2.4.1四川省二!...................................................,...................................15 2.4.2阿坝州................................................................................................15 2.4.3汉川县...............................................................................................,16 2.5现有公路技术状况及存在问题...............................................................16 2.5.1路线.........,....................................................................................16 2.5.2路基....................................................................................................16 2.5.3桥梁.................................................................,.......................,.,17 2.5.4涵洞....................................................................................................17 2.5.5隧道.........................................................,....................................18 2.6小结...........................................................................................................18 第3章交通量预测............................................................................................19 3.1思路!方法与内容...................................................................................19 3.1.1预侧理论与方法........,.................................................................19 3.1.2公路交通量预测方法........................................................................19 3.2交通发生与吸引预测.............,...........................................................21西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第IV页 3.3交通分布...................................................................................................22 3.4诱增和吸引交通量预测...................,.....,.....................................23 3.5高峰季节旅游交通量...............................................................................24 3.5.1旅游交通量预测的基本考虑和方法................................................24 3.5.2远景年旅游交通出行量预测............................................................24 3.5.3旅游交通量增长率确定....................................................................25 3.5.4旅游交通量预测结果........................................................................26 3.6交通量预测结果.................,.........................,...........................26 3.7小结...........................................................................................................27 第4章技术标准...................................,........................,.......................28 `钊洲到一q`洲q洲钊一n户七洲,七们2勺-2,石2自今,J4.1公路等级的确定 4.1.1路网规划!功能 4.1.2远景交通量. 42技术标准 4:21设计速度和路基宽度 4.2.2推荐技术标准....,. 4.3小结 第5章备选方案拟定........................................................................................31 5.1建设条件........................................,....................................................31 5.1.1沿线地形!地貌!气候及地质条件.................................................31 5.1.2沿线筑路材料及运输条件.................................................................33 5.1.3社会环境分析.....................................................................................33 5.1.4拟建项目与其它交通衔接情况.........................................................34 5.2备选方案拟定...........................................................................................34 5.2.1建设项目起讫点与目前道路的衔接.................................................34 5.2.2路线走向与主要控制点....................................................................35 5.2.3影响本项目走向方案的重点工程,..............................................35 5.2.4路线方案选择.....................................................................................36 5.3小结..................................................,..................................................37 第6章工程环境影响分析................................................................................38