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i
This project aims to gather evidence on the potential impact of multimodal transport
infrastructure and connectivity on international trade under the China Belt and Road Initiative
(BRI). The project consists of two main tasks: (i) a review of barriers to and facilitators of
transport infrastructure and connectivity on trade in the BRI context; and (ii) an empirical
structural gravity model analysis to quantify the potential impact of removing the identifed
barriers on international trade. The model results are then extrapolated to a series of policy
scenario tests. The study may be of interest to policymakers and stakeholders who are interested
in the Asia Pacifc region and transport infrastructure investment.
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For more information, contact
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About the RAND Center for Asia Pacifc Policy
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RAND Corporation. CAPP provides analysis on political, social, economic, and technological
developments in and around the Asia Pacifc. Through research and analysis, CAPP helps public
Preface
iiChina Belt and Road Initiative
and private decisionmakers solve problems, tackle challenges, and identify ways to make society
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