而中国证券市场制度具有特殊性,新股发行(即 IPO)会对股票市场产
生一定影响,这个问题值得深入研究。在发行体制改革的过程中,每遇
到制度变化可能会对市场产生重大影响时,管理层都会暂停或重启 IPO,
而暂停和重启 IPO 又会反过来影响股票市场。研究我国 IPO 的暂停与重
启对于完善我国证券市场机制有着十分重要的意义
本文通过研究中国资本市场发展的历史沿革,对比世界其他国家新
股发行市场的“异常现象”,找出我国新股发行与其相同和不同的地方,
归纳总结国内外研究成果,重点分析我国 IPO 市场发展的特点,从而得
出 IPO 对股票二级市场产生影响的主流观点。A 股遇到制度改革或者突
发事件时,监管层为防止股市震荡都会暂停一段时间的新股发行,在行
情稳定时再恢复。历史上共经历了九次新股暂停和重启,监管层在做暂
停或者重启 IPO 决定后,每次的新股发行变化会对 A 股市场产生影响,
每次的新股发行制度改革也会对 A 股健康稳定发展起到一定的作用。本
文将使用文献研究法、事件研究法、比较分析法、实地调研分析法等,
分析 IPO 相关因素对中国股票市场产生的影响,以及详尽分析每一次新II
股暂停和重启时的事件背景、股票市场表现,并得出相关结论:IPO 暂
停对于股票市场的影响偏于正面;IPO 重启则偏于负面,但影响有限
IPO 暂停或重启的政策在发布的短时间内,股票市场大多延续之前的走
势,IPO 的暂停与重启并不能决定股票市场的走势,反而会加剧市场的
波动。IPO 暂停和重启不能解决中国股票市场的根本问题,中国股市的
健康发展需要完善相关制度建设
最后,针对中国股票市场的现状,提出建设性的政策建议,希望对
提高我国的金融市场监管效率,营造健康稳定的市场环境有一定的参考
作用
关键词:新股发行;新股暂停与重启;股票市场走势;股市波动影响因
素;监管政策III
The Impact of IPO’s Pause and Restart on
Chinese Stock Market
Abstract:Stock market is the barometer of national economy and to some
extent, able to reflect the change of market. While the system of Chinese
stock market is special. The launch of new stocks(IPO) influences the stock
market and during the reform of launch system, the management will suspend
or restart IPO every time the change of the system may affects the market
dramatically. In turn, both suspension and restart will influence the stock
market. Studying the suspension and the restart of IPO makes a significant
difference to improve the stock market in China.
Base on the development of stock market in China and compared with
the “strange situation” in the launch market of new stocks in other countries,
this paper will find out the differences and similarities in our country when
launching new stocks, analyze the characteristics of IPO market in China by
summarizing research outcomes overseas, thus come up with the idea that
IPO has an effect on second-level stock market. When the A-stock meets
policy reform or emergency, to forbid the shake of the stock market,
regulators will not launch new stocks for a period of time until the stable
situation reoccurs . There are nine pause and restart of new stocks totally .
The decision of pausing and starting the IPO will influence the A-stock
market . The system reform in new stocks will take function on the healthy
development of theA-stock . Using the methods of literature review、method
of comparative analysis、listing examples of historical events and event study,
this paper will analyze the influence of IPO related elements on the stock
market in China, and the background and market performance of each
suspension and restart of new stocks, coming up with the following
conclusion: the suspension of IPO has a relatively positive influence on theIV
stock market; while the influence of the restart of IPO is relatively negative,
but its influence is limited. Within a short period of the suspension and the
restart of IPO, the stock market always has the same trend with the previous
period, and the suspension and restart of IPO cannot decide the trend of the
stock market, but will increase the fluctuation. The suspension and restart
cannot solve the basic issue of Chinese stock market and the healthy
development of Chinese stock market requires improved system.
At last, this paper will propose constructive advice on the basis of some
existing issues on the Chinese stock market, aiming to improve the regulatory
efficiency in the financial market and bring healthy and stable market in
China.
Keywords: Launch of New Stocks; Pause and Restart of New Stocks; Trend
of Stock Market; Factors of the Fluctuation in Stock Market; Regulatory
PolicyI
目录
1绪论.....1
1.1选题依据及研究意义.........1
1.1.1选题依据..1
1.1.2研究意义..3
1.2研究方法与研究内容.........4
1.2.1研究方法..4
1.2.2研究内容..5
2国内外相关研究.......7
2.1 IPO“异常现象”研究........7
2.1.1 IPO 抑价现象..........7
2.1.2 IPO 长期弱势现象.....11
2.2我国股票市场扩容对二级市场的影响......12
2.3造成股市波动的其他影响因素研究........14
3相关理论基础及概念界定..........17
3.1相关理论基础..17
3.1.1信息不对称理论.......17
3.1.2有效市场假说.........18
3.1.3行为金融学理论.......19
3.2概念界定......20
3.2.1 IPO 概念解析.........20
3.2.2股市波动的一般概述...20
4 IPO 暂停与重启对中国 A 股市场影响分析........23
4.1我国 IPO 发行现状分析......23
4.2九次 IPO 暂停对中国 A 股市场的影响......24
4.2.1 IPO 暂停背景及对股票市场的影响分析...........24
4.2.2小结.....32
4.3九次 IPO 重启对中国 A 股市场的影响......33
4.3.1 IPO 重启后的市场表现分析.........33II
4.3.2 IPO 重启后的影响分析.35
4.4总结..........38
5 IPO 暂停和重启对股市波动的影响因素研究......39
5.1 IPO 相关因素对股市波动的影响..........39
5.1.1 IPO 市盈率对股市波动的影响.......39
5.1.2 IPO 公司质量对股市波动的影响.....40
5.1.3 IPO 频率对股市波动的影响.........41
5.1.4 IPO 规模对股市波动的影响.........42
5.1.5 IPO 投资者行为对股市波动的影响...43
5.1.6 IPO 资金供求关系对股市波动的影响.45
5.2中美 IPO 审批制度对股市影响的比较研究..45
5.2.1我国 IPO 审批制度....45
5.2.2美国 IPO 审批制度....48
5.2.3中国与美国 IPO 审批制度对比......49
6结论与政策建议.....51
6.1研究结论......51
6.2政策建议......52
6.3创新点及不足..53
6.3.1创新点...53
6.3.2不足.....54
参考文献.55
致谢....59太原理工大学工商管理(MBA)硕士研究生学位论文1绪论
1.1选题依据及研究意义
1.1.1选题依据
我国股票市场在短短的二十多年时间里飞速发展,从无到有,A 股市场从最初的八
只股票到2016年12月9日突破三千只股票,并且还在继续扩容中;从当初的投资产品
单一,到现在各种衍生品的出现,股票市场在我国经济发展的领域里占据着越来越重要
的地位,也有越来越多的研究和分析偏向于股票市场
在中国,资本市场仅仅经历了不到五十年的发展过程,而股票市场从1990年建立
至今也只有短短的二十多年,各种历史遗留问题、制度性缺陷和结构性矛盾比较突出,
股市大起大落就是其中一个重要表现。在成立初的十年间,股市震荡上行,但是从2001
年开始,市场进入了时间较长的调整阶段,具体表现是:股指出现大幅下跌;随着行情
惨淡,经纪业务收入减少,证券行业出现了连续四年亏损的状况,整个行业进入寒冬;
公司上市融资
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