本文主要分为三个部分,首先对中日韩三国农业发展和农产品对外贸易现状进行
了分析概括;其次,构建多个指数模型实证研究了区域内农产品市场中的竞争性和互
补性,分析三国农产品贸易结构,并得出实证结论:三国农产品在区域市场上有竞争,
但由于自然禀赋和人力成本的不同而存在竞争力差异,农产品贸易合作居于较高水
平,中日韩 FTA 的建立必将对三国贸易福利提高、农产品出口结构的优化和农业生
产水平的发展发挥深远作用;最后提出中日韩自由贸易区框架下促进三国农产品贸易
和农业发展的政策建议。
本文研究中不仅局限于对三国农产品贸易结构的总量分析,而是在总量分析的基
础上分析了每个国家不同类别农产品的贸易分布,在深层次上研究了三国农产品贸易
的产品结构、市场结构和相互关系。通过分析三国农产品在区域市场内的竞争性与互
补性,对中日韩农产品贸易结构做实证解析,以此来区分我国农产品在日韩市场的优
势所在,以期为我国参与中日韩自由贸易区谈判提有效智力支持。
关键词:自由贸易区 农产品 竞争性 互补性Abstract
China, Japan and South Korea are all located in the Yellow Sea region on
geographically speaking, the convenient transportation makes broad and deep agricultural
products trade. So the analysis on trade of agricultural products among the three countries
has a very important practical significance. Agricultural products trade is an important and
sensitive issue in the trade between the three countries. In recent years, in the context of the
development of global economic integration and communication, the action such as
regional cooperation taken by China, Japan and South Korea on the trade of agricultural
products is not enough to satisfy the development needs of agricultural trade. The building
of FTA between China, Japan and South Korea will provide a new platform for the
development of economic cooperation, and continuously improve the level of bilateral
economic and trade relations among the three countries, and generated the development of
agricultural trade in the three countries, to improve the standard of living of the
populations of welfare, to promote the upgrade of aquaculture in industrial structure and
enhance the development of aquaculture throughout the region.
The paper is divided into the following levels: First, profile analysis and empirical
analysis of agricultural products trade between China, Japan and South Korea. Here we
give a comprehensive introduction to the development of agricultural products of the three
countries, quantitative analysis of the status of the tripartite trade of agricultural products,
we use all kinds of index tools to get competition and complementary in research, as well
as for empirical research. The results show that the level of trade within the agricultural
industry in the three countries has been at a high level, and agricultural products trade of
the three countries have different competitive index of competition and cooperation, so the
FTA will promote the development of the agricultural trade in the three countries. Finally,
this paper attempts to give suggestion to develop the aquaculture and the promote free
trade of agricultural products of the three countries under the context of FTA, and hope to
be scientific development reference of the entire Asia-Pacific region aquaculture policy
reference.
The innovation of this paper is not only for the total trade of agricultural products, and
it also has specific analysis of the three between different categories of agricultural
products trade. Not only analyzed the three agricultural products trade competitive and
complementary to each one, what’s more, we used used multiple models to study the
research of trade relations, to achieve a systematic and comprehensive analysis ofagricultural products trade in the three countries as far as possible.
Key words:FTA Agricultural Products Competitiveness Complementarity目 录
摘要... 1
Abstract.......... 2
第 1 章 绪论........... 1
1.1 选题背景及意义 .... 1
1.1.1 研究背景1
1.1.2 研究意义2
1.2 国内外研究现状评述 ........ 3
1.2.1 关于中日韩自由贸易区的研究3
1.2.2 关于中日韩农产品贸易的研究6
1.3 研究内容与创新 .... 8
1.3.1 研究内容8
1.3.2 主要创新点 ........ 9
1.4 研究思路与方法 .. 10
1.4.1 研究思路 .......... 10
1.4.2 主要研究方法 .. 11
1.5 研究范围与数据来源 ...... 11
1.5.1 研究范围 .......... 12
1.5.2 数据来源 ......... 12
第 2 章 中日韩农产品贸易状况概述..... 13
2.1 中日韩三国各自农产品贸易现状 .......... 13
2.1.1 三国间农产品贸易的发展现状 .......... 13
2.2 三国农产品贸易与经济总量分析 .......... 17
2.2.1 中日韩三国农产品世界贸易 .. 18
2.2.2 中日韩农产品贸易与 GDP 的关系 ... 19
小 结... 20
第 3 章 中日韩三国农产品贸易的竞争性分析. 21
3.1 区域市场占有率(MS)21
3.1.1 数据来源及筛选 .......... 21
3.1.2 数据测算与分析 .......... 22
3..2 区域显示性比较优势(RCA) . 23
3.2.1 数据来源及筛选 ......... 24
3.3 区域贸易竞争力指数(TC) ..... 25
3.3.1 数据筛选 .......... 26
3.3.2 中日、中韩贸易竞争力指数测算 ...... 26
小 结... 28
第 4 章 中日韩三国农产品的贸易互补性分析. 30
4.1 贸易密集度指数(TII) .. 30
4.1.1 三国农产品贸易密集度指数测算与分析....... 31
4.1.2 三国农产品贸易密集度指数分析 ...... 31
4.2 贸易互补性指数(TCI). 32
4.2.1 三国农产品贸易互补性指数测算与分析....... 32
4.3 贸易偏向度指数 .. 33
小 结... 34
第 5 章 中日韩自由贸易区框架下农产品贸易发展的政策建议......... 35
5.1 加强三国农产品行业信息交流和经验互补,合理引导三国农业发展 .......... 35
5.1.1 农产品生产方面进行合理引导 .......... 35
5.1.2 农产品市场方面确定市场信息交换机制....... 35
5.1.3 建立农业磋商机制,加强农民基层组织的交流与合作....... 36
5.2 实现中日韩三国农产品贸易互惠,消除贸易障碍 ....... 36
5.2.1 尽快促进中日韩自由贸易区有关农产品贸易优惠协定的达成....... 36
5.2.2 制定统一的农产品质量技术检验标准........... 37
5.2.3 构建协调高效的区域生态物流网络 .. 37
5.3 构建中日韩农业合作示范区,加强三国间农业管理层面的交流 ....... 37
5.4 不断提升我国农产品出口竞争力 .......... 38
5.4.1 重点发展劳动密集型农产品扩大对日韩农产品竞争优势... 38
5.4.2 建立和完善农产品质量标准体系 ...... 39
5.4.3 改善我国农产品出口环境 ...... 39
5.4.4 加强和完善产业宏观调控 ...... 40
小 结... 40
结 论......... 41
参考文献..... 42
致谢. 45