目前，我国已经成为世界家电生产大国，产品质量和技术水平已达到国际先进水平， 家电产品也正朝着智能化、多功能、健康、节能、环保的方向发展，安全、环保、节能 的变频控制技术顺应了家电市场技术发展的需要，成为 21 世纪家电市场控制系统的主 流技术，集变频控制技术于一体的变频电器也受到消费者的极大追捧。另外，改革开放 以来我国电力电子市场发展迅猛，市场需求潜力巨大。然而，如此巨大的需求市场基本 依靠进口，很少有中国产品供应。 莱芜市三和科技有限公司率先在国内研制成功集先进变频控制技术于一身的 UIPM 模块，该产品体积小、集成度高、耗能低、环境适应性强、性价比高、电磁兼容性强， 性能达到国际先进水平。为适应家电产业的技术发展及国内外市场需求，公司决定新上 UIPM 模块项目，该项目投资巨大，十分有必要进行全面的论证评估。本文综合运用项目 评估的理论，对该项目进行了全面的论证评估，并得出可行的研究结论，也为其它项目 的论证评估提供了参考依据。 本文的写作思路如下，报告第二部分、第三部分、第四部分分别从项目的运行环境、 项目技术水平、项目环境影响等方面对项目进行了定性分析，说明了项目实施的必要性 与可行性，第五部分、第六部分又从项目财务分析、风险分析方面对项目进行了深入的 定量分析与评估，论证了这一项目的经济价值，得出项目可行的结论。本文的重点在财 务分析和风险分析部分，着重对投资回收期、净现值、内部收益率、盈亏平衡分析、敏 感性分析等指标进行了深入的研究并应用于项目评估中。投资回收期、净现值和内部收 益率均有着多种计算方法，计算方法的科学性事关到投资方案可行与否的判断，对这三 个指标进行研究较具有理论价值。同时，不确定分析既是风险分析的重要部分，也是财 务指标评价的重要补充，在方法上也存在许多改进的地方，通过改进后对该项目的可行 性进行判断分析，以期获得更具科学性的评价结论。 关键词，UIPM；运行环境；技术评估；环境影响；财务分析；风险分析2 Laiwu SanHe technology Co. Ltd.UIPM Project evaluation study Abstract At present, China has become the world's largest producer of household electrical appliances, product quality and technological level has reached the international advanced level, household electrical appliances also moving toward intelligent, multi-functional, health, energy saving, environmental protection, development, security, environmental protection, energy saving control of the inverter technical response to the appliance market and technological development needs of the 21st century home appliance control system for the mainstream market, technology, frequency conversion control technology set in one of the frequency of electrical appliances also greatly sought after by consumers. In addition, since the reform and opening up of China's rapid development of power electronics market, a huge potential market demand. However, the demand for such a huge market to rely on imports, very few Chinese products. Laiwu SanHe technology Co. Ltd. successfully developed the first set in the domestic advanced technology frequency control module in one of the UIPM, the products small size, high integration, low power consumption, environmental adaptability, cost-effective, Electromagnetic Compatibility strong performance to reach the international advanced level. In order to meet the household appliances industry, technology development and market demand both at home and abroad, the company decided UIPM new module project, which invest in large, it is essential to conduct a comprehensive assessment of the demonstration. In this paper, the theory of the use of project appraisal, the project conducted a comprehensive assessment of the argument and came to the conclusion of the study3 feasible, but also for other demonstration projects to provide a reference for the assessment. This article writing mentality is as follows: Paper second part, third part, the fourth part from the project movement environment, project aspects and so on technical level, project environmental effect has separately carried on the qualitative analysis to the project, explained the project implementation necessity and the feasibility, fifth part, the sixth part from the project finance analysis, the risk analysis aspect has carried on the thorough quantitative analysis and the appraisal to the project, has proven this project economic value, draws the project feasible conclusion.This article key point in the financial analysis and the risk analysis part, emphatically to invested the recoupment period, only is presently worth, internal targets and so on returns ratio, and loss balance analysis, sensitive analysis has conducted the thorough research and applies in the project appraisal.The investment recoupment period, only is presently worth and internal returns ratio has many kinds of computational method, the computational method scientific critical time to the investment plan feasible or not judgment, conducts the research to these three targets to have the theory value.At the same time, the indefinite analysis not only is the risk analysis important part, also is the financial norm appraisal important supplement, also has many improvements in the method the places, carries on the judgment analysis after the improvement to this project feasibility, obtains by the time has the scientific appraisal conclusion. Key words: UIPM; Movement environment; Technology assessment; Environmental effect; Financial analysis; Risk analysis4 目 录 1 绪论..................................................................................................................................7 1.1 项目研究背景与意义 ................................................................................................7 1.1.1 项目研究背景 ........................................................................................................ 7 1.1.2 项目研究意义 ........................................................................................................ 8 1.1.3 项目简介 ................................................................................................................ 9 1.2 可行性研究综述 ........................................................................................................9 1.2.1 可行性研究的内涵 ................................................................................................ 9 1.2.2 可行性研究的发展历程 ........................................................................................ 9 1.2.3 可行性研究的内容 .............................................................................................. 11 1.2.4 可行性研究的方法和程序 .................................................................................. 12 1.3 本文的研究思路及框架 ..........................................................................................12 2 项目运行环境评估........................................................................................................13 2.1 项目运行环境评估理论概述 ..................................................................................13 2.2 该项目组织评估 ........................................................................................................14 2.3 该项目资源条件评估 ................................................................................................15 2.4 该项目市场需求环境条件评估 ..............................................................................16 2.4.1 国内市场分析 ...................................................................................................... 16 2.4.2 国际市场分析 ...................................................................................................... 16 2.5 该项目市场竞争力分析 ............................................................................................17 2.6 该项目的宏观运行环境评估 ....................................................................................18 3 项目技术评估..................................................................................................................18 3.1 项目技术评估理论概述 ............................................................................................18 3.2 该项目工艺技术评估 ................................................................................................19 3.2.1 项目技术来源