随着我国经济的快速发展,能源短缺的问题日益尖锐,人类赖以生存的环境也日益 受到破坏,可持续发展面临严峻的挑战在我国人口众多!资源有限的情况下,如何能 满足能源的需求而不破坏环境是极为关键的,而风力发电正具备这样的条件 本文首先介绍了风力发电的背景!国内外风电发展的现状以及我国发展风电的可行 性和必要性;接着详细地探讨了风力发电可行性研究的重点内容,并以芝果岛风电项目 为例,对风力发电可行性研究的理论和方法进行了运用和验证;最后,笔者分析了我国 风电可行性研究重要意义,提出了一些相应的建议,并提出了/不可行性研究0的新观 点,希望对我国风力发电事业提供帮助 本文以具体可操作为目的,理论和实践相结合,对风力发电可行性理论进行了进一 步的探讨文中对芝呆岛风力发电场可行性研究的核心内容进行了分析,力图以此为契 机,提高我国风力发电可行性研究的水平和质量,实现风力发电事业的良性发展,满足 我国环保和可持续发展的要求 关键词:风力发电,可行性研究,可再生能源,环境保护 冬烟台芝呆岛风力发电场可行性研究 YantaiZhifudaoWindPowerParkFeasibilityStudy AbstfaCt WithraPiddeveloPmentofChina,eeonomy,shortageofenergysoureeshasbeeame inereasinglyserious.Asthelivingenvironmenthasbeenbadlydamaged,sustainable develoPment15faeingagreatehallenge.IntheeasethatChinahasalargePoPulationbutlimit naturalresourees,it,5akeyPointhowtomeetthegreatdemandofenergysoureeswithout damagingtheenvironment,forwhiehwindPowerexaetlyqualifies. FirstlythisPaPergivesabriefintroduetionofthebaekgroundofwindPower,the situationofitsdeveloPmentinsideandoutsideofChina,andfeasibilityandneeessityofits develoPmentinChina.Then,theauthordigsintofeasibilitystudyofwindPower#Andlie takestheZhifudaoasanexamPletoaPPlyandverifyhistheoryandmethodinwindPower feasibilitystudy.Finally,theauthoranalysestheimPortantmeaningsinChina,5WindPower feasibilitystudyandraisesawholenewconcePtinfeasibilitystudyinhoPeofmaking eontributiontotheeauseofChina,5windPowerwithhiseffort. CombiningtheorywithPraetiee,thisthesishasfurtherreaehonthetheoryofwind PowerfeasibilitystudyaimingatPracticabilityofthetheory#Italsoanalysesthecoreof feasibilitystudyoftheZhifudaowindPowerParkbywhiehtoimProvetheleveland qualificationofoureountry,5windPowerfeasibilitystudy,aehievefavorabledeveloPmentof thiseause,andmeetChina,5needforenvironmentProteetionandsustainabledeveloPment. KeyWords:WindPower,FeasibilityStudy,RenewableEnergy,Environment ProteCtion II沈阳工业大学硕士学位报告 目录 摘要...............................................................................................................................I AbstraCt................................................................................................................................n 1绪论..................................................................................................................................1 川国内外能源需求现状..............................................1 1.2本文的研究目的..................................................................................................4 2风力发电可行性研究的主要内容..................................................................................6 2.1风电场发电量的理论估算..................................................................................6 2.1.1空气密度....................................................................................................6 2.1.2风向!风能玫瑰图..................................................#...6 2.1.3风能计算....................................................................................................#8 2.1.4上网电量损耗....................................................................................#9 2.2风电场的电气部分..............................................................9 2.2.1接入系统部分.......................................,.........一#9 2.2.2场内电气部分......!二-二,...........,........./,..................#..10 之.3风电场的工程地质,..........................卜...............#-!,.10 2.3.1地形地貌.................................-.............,...........,........,.10 2.3.2场址抗震设防烈度......................................,#n 2.3.3场址的岩土工程条件......................................,#,#一n 2.4施工组织设计...............................................................................................#12 2,5环境影响评价........................................................................................#一12 2.6投资估算............................................................................................................13 2.6.1风力发电机组........................................................................................14 2.6.2风机塔架的高度...................................................#16 2.7财务评价.............................................................................................................17 2.7.1净现值法...................................................................................................18 2.7.2内部收益率法..............................................................#19 2.7.3投资回收期法.............................................................................20 2.8敏感性分析..................................................................................................#20 2.8.1敏感性分析的内容.....................................................21 2.8.2敏感性分析中应注意的问题...................................................................21 3芝果岛风力发电场可行性研究的实证分析................................................................23烟台芝呆岛风力发电场可行性研究 3.1烟台芝呆岛风电场的基本情况.............................................:............23 3.1.1地理位置...................................................................................................23 3.1.2电网现状及发展规划...............................................................................25 3.1.3工程地质...................................................................................................26 3.2风能资源...........................................................................................................#26 3.2.1基础资料..................................................................................................26 3.2.2空气密度计算....................................................................................28 3.2.3测风塔数据分析............................,......................29 3.2.4风电场上网电量计算.....................................................................#.#.31 .3.3项目总费用测算....................................................................................32 3.3.1投资主要指标..............................................................................#32 3.3.2工程设计概算表..............................................................................#32 3.4财务评价............................................................................................................32 3.4.1项目概况......,......................................................................................32 3.4.2资金筹措及贷款条件....................................................#.#33 3.4.3费用计算...................................................................................................33 3.4.4上网电价及发电效益计算.......................................................................34 3.4.5清偿能力分析....................................................................................#.#35 3.4.6盈利能力分析...................................................................................36 3.4.7敏感性分析...............................................................................................36 3.4.8财务评价结论...........................................................................................36 3.5综合分析.............................................................................................................37 4我国风电发展可行性的建议........................................................................................39 4.1我国风力发电可行性研究尚需改进的方面................................................39 4.2对我国风电可行性研究的建议...............................................