中国作为一个发展中的人口大国，生活服务区及安置房的建设将始终是我 国现代化进程中一个带有全局性、战略性的重要问题。随着我国经济的高速发 展，城市规划区内因旧区成片改造、政府投资项目的建设规模不断增大，这些 改造和建设项目所涉及到的拆迁居民和农民数量大幅度增长。我国现有的安置 房数量已远不能满足被拆迁人的需求。因此新建更多高品质的拆迁安置房、不 断满足拆迁户的需求已迫在眉睫。 本文开始部分介绍了项目建设可行性理论国内外发展和运用的现状，重点 综述了可行性研究理论以及住房补贴理论。本文随后对 HL 地区红旗社区棚户 区建设的必要性进行了分析研究，着重采用项目建设投资评价方法对本项目的 投资估算及资金筹措模式以及项目财务方面的清偿能力进行了可行性的论证， 同时运用风险管理理论的方法探讨了本项目在投资建设中可能存在的风险以及 风险的规避措施。最后整体的对湘潭市 HL 地区红旗社区棚户区建设项目进行 了可行性分析评价，最终得出结论。 关键词:棚户区;经济评价;风险管理;可行性II Abstract As a developing populous country, the living area and the construction of resettlement housing will always be important issues for China's modernization process, with an overall and strategic. With China's rapid economic development, urban planning area due to the transformation of the old districts into a film, the construction scale of government investment projects is increasing, reconstruction and construction of the project involves the relocation of residents and the substantial increase in the number of peasants. Of the number of resettlement housing far from being able to meet the needs of the people were relocated. New high quality resettlement housing Therefore, we continue to meet the needs of the relocatees imminent. The beginning of this article describes the project construction the feasibility theory of domestic and foreign development and application of the status quo, the focus of the project investment and construction theory and the theory of risk management. Subsequent HL necessity of the construction of the Red Flag Community shantytowns analysis of the project investment estimate and fund raising mode and the solvency of the financial aspects of the demonstration of the feasibility of the emphasis of project construction investment evaluation method, while the use of the method of risk management theory to explore the possible risks in the investment and construction, and risk avoidance measures. Finally, the overall Xiangtan City HL Hongqi Community shantytowns construction project feasibility analysis and evaluation, and ultimately concluded. Keywords: shantytowns; economic evaluation; risk management; feasibilityIII 目 录 摘要..................................................................................................................... I ABSTRACT.......................................................................................................... II 第 1章 绪论..........................................................................................................1 1.1 选题背景与意义 .........................................................................................1 1.1.1 选题背景 .............................................................................................1 1.1.2 项目建设的必要性与意义 .................................................................1 1.2 理论研究综述 .............................................................................................2 1.3 研究思路与技术路线图 .............................................................................4 1.4 研究方法与基本框架 .................................................................................5 第 2章 项目介绍..................................................................................................6 2.1 项目概况 .....................................................................................................6 2.1.1 建设内容与建设规模 .........................................................................6 2.1.2 自然条件 .............................................................................................6 2.1.3 建设条件 .............................................................................................8 2.1.4 工业区层面总体规划及生活区服务规划条件 .................................8 2.1.5 对外交通规划 .....................................................................................9 2.1.6 城市道路交叉口规划 .......................................................................10 2.1.7 排水条件 ........................................................................................... 11 2.1.8 电力条件 ...........................................................................................12 2.1.9 通讯条件 ...........................................................................................12 2.2 评价结论 ...................................................................................................12 第 3 章 项目市场分析........................................................................................14 3.1 土地市场宏观走势分析 ...........................................................................14 3.2 湘潭市土地市场供需状况分析 ...............................................................15 3.3 项目用地土地市场分析 ...........................................................................16 3.3.1 土地的区位条件优越 .......................................................................16 3.3.2 基础设施配套进一步完善 ...............................................................17 3.3.3 “政府引导、市场化运作”的开发模式............................................17 3.3.4 项目用地土地价格评估 ...................................................................17 3.4 本项目市场需求分析 ...............................................................................21IV 第 4章 节能与环保分析....................................................................................22 4.1 节能分析 ...................................................................................................22 4.1.1 项目所在地能源供应条件 ...............................................................22 4.1.2 项目能源消耗种类、数量及能源使用分布情况 ...........................23 4.1.3 节能措施及效果分析 .......................................................................25 4.2 环保分析 ...................................................................................................27 4.2.1 环境保护的基本原则和标准 ...........................................................27 第 5章 投资估算与资金筹措...........................................................................31 5.1 工程概况与估算编制依据 .......................................................................31 5.2 项目建设投资分析 ...................................................................................31 5.2.1 投资估算表 .......................................................................................31 5.3 资金筹措分析 ...........................................................................................33 5.3.1 融资方案 ...........................................................................................34 第 6 章 财务评价................................................................................................35 6.1 基础数据 ...................................................................................................35 6.2 年收入和营业税金及附加估算 ...............................................................35 6.3 成本费用估算 ...........................................................................................36 6.4 财务效益分析 ...........................................................................................36 6.5 清偿能力分析 ...........................................................................................38 6.6 财务评价结论 ...........................................................................................40 第 7章 社会评价................................................................................................41 7.1 项目对社会的影响分析 ........................