1、每日微信群内分享7+最新重磅报告；
4、行研报告均为公开版，权利归原作者
所有，起点财经仅分发做内部学习
IHS Markit’s Security Technologies Top Trends For 2019
page 2
Introduction
For our annual trends whitepaper for 2019 we include trends from analysts covering the video
surveillance, access control and critical communications industries.
IHS Markit identified ubiquitous video as one of its top transformative technologies earlier in 2018. In
public safety installations, we are observing this concept converge video surveillance and critical
communications technologies as personnel embrace the benefits of ubiquitous video. Examples include
the latest deep learning video analytics powering insights in safe city installations, a first responder live
streaming body worn video to control rooms using the latest mobile broadband networks, or the closer
integration and analysis of video data from multiple sources within software applications.
In the wider video surveillance industry demand for professional video surveillance cameras has been
growing quickly and is forecast to continue in 2019. It is estimated that less than 10 million surveillance
cameras were shipped globally in 2006. This grew to over 100 million in 2016. It is forecast that over
180 million will be shipped in 2019. At the same time, the steep erosion in the average price of cameras
and other video surveillance equipment is starting to slow. As a result, IHS Markit is forecasting that the
world market will grow at an annual rate of over 8% in 2019. Some regional markets, like India and
Latin America will grow much faster.
So, what will be the big stories in 2019 Future supply base changes, app stores and use of SaaS in
emergency response are just some of the trends discussed in our ninth annual white paper on trends for
the year ahead. The predictions on the following are to provide some guidance on opportunities across
security technologies. We hope you find them useful in planning for 2019:
Supply base changes in 2019
Cybersecurity is more than a political football
Where are all the GDPR prosecutions
Deep Learning analytics at the edge
App stores for the security industry
Electronic access control systems: Year-end review and forecast
SaaS driving next generation emergency response
Broadband adoption in the critical communications industry
Licensed mobile radio trends overview
If you would like to speak with one of our analysts on any of the topics covered in this white paper, or
to discuss our service offerings, please contact us.
Jon Cropley
Senior Principal Analyst – Video Surveillance
For more information on this white paper, refer to the Video Surveillance research area, under the
Security Technology section of the IHS Markit Technology website.
Thomas Lynch
Research Director – Security Technologies
Contact Information:
CustomerCare@ihsmarkit
IHS Markit’s Security Technologies Top Trends For 2019
page 3
Supply base changes in 2019
By Jon Cropley
Supply to the professional video surveillance market has become more concentrated in recent years. The
world’s three largest vendors accounted for 17% of market revenues in 2007 and 18% in 2012. In
contrast, the top three accounted for 40% in 2017.
Despite this, the supply base for professional video surveillance equipment remains much more
fragmented that the supply base for many other markets. There are still hundreds of relatively small
video surveillance equipment vendors, many of them with a market share much lower than 1%.
There have been acquisitions in the past decade though. Larger examples include Schneider Electric
acquiring Pelco, Hanwha acquiring Samsung Techwin and Canon acquiring Axis Communications. In
recent years, many smaller video surveillance software vendors have also been acquired. Examples
include Canon acquiring Milestone Systems and Briefcam, OnSSI acquiring SeeTec, Panasonic acquiring
Video Insight, and Tyco acquiring Exacq.
Recent years have also seen some acquisitions combining video surveillance vendors and vendors of
other security technologies. These have included Hikvision acquiring Pyronix and Avigilon being acquired
by Motorola.
There are likely to be further mergers and acquisitions in 2019 as vendors attempt to challenge the three
largest vendors of Hikvision, Dahua, and Axis Communications. However, a spree of large scale mergers
and acquisitions is not expected.
Furthermore, it is important to remember these three largest vendors have themselves largely grown
through organic means. The rate at which they have done this has been impressive. None of these
companies were among even the ten largest vendors in 2005 and Hikvision and Dahua didn’t yet exist
at the turn of the century. This shows just how quickly market shares can change and how quickly new
entrants can grow.
There have been several new entrants to the professional video surveillance market in recent years (e.g.
Motorola, Eagle Eye Networks, Amazon, Huawei). There will be more new entrants in 2019. Perhaps
some of them will be among the market leaders of the future.
IHS Markit’s Security Technologies Top Trends For 2019
page 4
Cybersecurity is more than a political football
By Niall Jenkins
Cyber security was one of the buzzwords of 2018. Something of a political football throughout the year,
some Western brands looked to cybersecurity to differentiate their offerings from products and solutions
supplied by Chinese competitors.
That said, there are real threats that need to be addressed in the cybersecurity market. As devices
become increasingly connected and networked, every node on the network has the potential to provide
access to a bad actor. Furthermore, the highly resourced and cyber-advanced vendors, such as Microsoft
and Adobe, are getting much better at protecting their code from attack. The consequence is that cyber
criminals are starting to look at the emerging IoT (Internet of Things) markets, such as smart home and
physical security. Combined with the relative inexperience of self-installers as well as security integrators
(remember, analog cameras accounted for over 60% of new camera shipments only five years ago), this
makes the video surveillance industry a high profile target.
Interestingly, while building technology has been used as a point of entry to steal credit card details, in
many cases the cyber-attack is focused on using connected devices to deliver DDoS (Distributed Denial
of Service) attacks. These attacks work by spamming chosen websites with requests from thousands, or
millions, of connected nodes on the internet, overriding the sites ability to respond and making it crash.
These attacks may (but not always) inhibit the ability of the devices to perform their configured function,
for example to record video surveillance footage.
In response to all this activity the video surveillance market has started a process of education on cyber
security. This has included training sessions and seminars, increased feature sets and best practice
guidelines and the deployment of some encryption technologies. However, much like GDPR, there seems
to be more talk about cyber security than real action or consequence.
So, what will happen in 2019
IHS Markit predicts:
There will be an increasing focus on where components and software is sourced and which
OEM partnerships are in place. Software auditing is required by end-users in many critical
vertical markets which will make this more transparent.
In the lower end of the market, ease of use will compete with cyber security. Ultimately, SMB’s
are not as concerned with cyber threats and will prioritize ease of use and installation over
security unless legislated to do