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世界经济论坛_全球能源建筑性能指数报告2017年英文版_32页

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文本描述
Industry Agenda
Global Energy
Architecture
Performance Index
Report 2017
World Economic Forum
91-93 route de la Capite
CH-1223 Cologny/Geneva
Switzerland
Tel.: +41 (0)22 869 1212
Fax: +41 (0)22 786 2744
Email: contact@weforum
weforum
World Economic Forum
No part of this publication may be reproduced or
transmitted in any form or by any means, including
photocopying and recording, or by any information
storage and retrieval system.
REF 161216
Prepared in collaboration with Accenture
3Global Energy Architecture Performance Index Report 2017
Contents
4 Acknowledgements
4 Foreword
6 Executive summary
8 Methodology
9 EAPI 2017 results
10 Key fndings
15 Steering energy systems through
transition
23 Concluding remarks
24 Appendices
24 Addendum on methodology
26 Weights, measures and
abbreviations
27 Endnotes
28 References
Prepared in collaboration with Accenture
4Global Energy Architecture Performance Index Report 2017
Acknowledgements
Contributors
The World Economic Forum is pleased to acknowledge and
thank the individuals and partners listed here, without whom
the Global Energy Architecture Performance Index Report
2017 would not have been possible.
Chief Expert Advisers
Morgan Bazilian, Lead Energy Specialist, World Bank
Davide Puglielli, Senior Manager, Strategy and Mergers and
Acquisitions, Enel
David Victor, Professor of International Relations and
Director, Laboratory on International Law, University of
California, San Diego; Chair, Global Agenda Council on
Governance for Sustainability
Eirik Wrness, Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist,
Statoil
Data Partners
International Energy Agency (IEA), German Federal
Enterprise for International Cooperation (GIZ), World Bank
Group (WBG), World Trade Organization (WTO), UN SE4ALL,
UN Statistics Division and UNCTADstat
This report marks the ffth annual edition of the global Energy
Architecture Performance Index (EAPI), which examines the
progress of the global energy transition – that of moving
towards more sustainable, affordable and secure energy
systems – by benchmarking the energy systems of 127
countries.
During the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2012 in
Davos-Klosters, Switzerland, executives of the world’s largest
energy companies, policy-makers and thought leaders from
across the energy value chain were asked: To what extent do
you expect global energy systems to change over the next ten
years An overwhelming 90% expressed the belief that
signifcant change would occur across energy architectures
around the world, and nearly one-third predicted a radical
shift in the way energy is sourced, transformed and
consumed.
Five years on and at the midway point, the world has indeed
witnessed unprecedented structural changes in the global
energy system, as evidenced across the three sides of the
“energy triangle”:
Economic growth and development: World energy
consumption has continued to grow since 2012, albeit at a
slower rate than seen in the previous decade. Much of this
growth has been driven by developing countries, whose
development is founded on energy. The economics of
producing this energy have experienced signifcant change.
The average price of oil in 2016 was 60% lower than fve years
ago.1 The emergence of unconventional oil, rising energy
effciency and slowing growth in emerging markets
contributed to a sustained supply glut and a downtrend in
prices starting at the end of 2014. In response, planned global
upstream capital spending was cut by over 30%,2 with some
predicting a potential hydrocarbon shortage as a result. By
2015, the basket of the world’s top 20 oil and gas companies
had lost a third of their market value (1)(2). Contrastingly, 10 of
the world’s biggest utility companies have seen their
combined market capitalization increase by over 26%.3
Foreword
Muqsit Ashraf
Managing Director,
Accenture Strategy - Energy
Roberto Bocca
Head of Energy and Basic
Industries and Member of
the Executive Committee,
World Economic Forum
Project Adviser: Accenture Strategy - Energy
Muqsit Ashraf, Managing Director
James Collins, Managing Director
Michael Moore, Senior Manager
Tessa Lennartz-Walker, Manager
Richard Standring, Consultant, (Lead Author)
Additional acknowledgements: Christian von Celsing,
Chhavi Maggu, Jenna Trescott
World Economic Forum
Roberto Bocca, Head of Energy and Basic Industries,
Member of the Executive Committee
Espen Mehlum, Head of Knowledge Management and
Integration, Energy Industries (Project Lead)
Thierry Geiger, Head of Analytics and Quantitative Research,
Global Competitiveness and Risks
Additional acknowledgements: Roderick Weller
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