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2018年东南亚、中国和印度经济展望_英文版

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Consult this publication on line at
http://dx.doi/9789264286184-en
This work is published on the
OECD iLibrary,
which gathers all OECD books, periodicals and statistical databases.
Visit
oecd-ilibrary
for more information.
Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China
and India 2018
FOSTERING GROWTH THROUGH DIGITALISATION
The
Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India
is a bi-annual publication on regional economic
growth, development and regional integration in Emerging Asia. It focuses on the economic conditions of
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) member countries: Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia,
Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam. It also addresses relevant
economic issues in China and India to fully refect economic developments in the region. Each edition of the
Outlook comprises four main parts, each highlighting a particular dimension of recent economic developments
in the region. The frst part presents the regional economic monitor, depicting the economic outlook and
macroeconomic challenges in the region. The second part takes stock of recent progress made in key aspects
of regional integration. The third part consists of a special thematic chapter addressing a major issue facing the
region. The 2018 edition focuses on fostering growth through digitalisation. And the fourth part includes structural
policy country notes offering country-specifc reviews and recommendations.
Contents
Chapter 1: Macroeconomic assessments and economic outlook for Emerging Asia
Chapter 2: Progress and challenges of regional integration in ASEAN and Emerging Asia
Chapter 3: Digitalisation in manufacturing and services in Emerging Asia
Chapter 4: Structural policy country notes
ISBN: 978-92-64-286177
41 2017 24 1 P1
Economic Outlook for
Southeast Asia, China and India
2018
FOSTERING GROWTH THROUGH DIGITALISATION
2018
1. <Header left page - cHapter
Economic Outlook
for Southeast Asia,
China and India
2018
FOSTERING GROWTH THROUGH DIGITALISATION
EconomicOutlook
forSoutheastAsia,
ChinaandIndia2017
ADDRESSINGENERGYCHALLENGES
3ecONOMIc OUtlOOK fOr SOUtHeaSt aSIa, cHINa aNd INdIa 2018: fOSterINg grOWtH tHrOUgH dIgItalISatIONOecd 2018
This work is published under the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The
opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect those of
the OECD, its Development Centre or of their member countries.
This document and any, as well as any data and map included herein, are without prejudice
to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international
frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.
The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli
authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights,
East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.
Photo credits: Cover design by the OECD Development Centre.
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Please cite this publication as:
OECD (2018),
Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India 2018: Fostering Growth Through
Digitalisation
, OECD Publishing, Paris,
http://dx.doi/9789264286184-en
.
ISBN: 978-92-64-28617-7 (print)
ISBN: 978-92-64-28618-4 (pdf)
Annual: Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India
ISSN 2310-1105 (print)
ISSN 2310-1113 (online)
1. fOreWOrd
3ecONOMIc OUtlOOK fOr SOUtHeaSt aSIa, cHINa aNd INdIa 2018: fOSterINg grOWtH tHrOUgH dIgItalISatIONOecd 2018
Foreword
The
Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India
is a biannual publication on
Asia’s regional economic growth, development and regional integration processes.
It focuses on the economic conditions of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN) member countries (Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR,
Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam) and two large
economies in the region, China and India. This publication evolved from the
Southeast
Asian Economic Outlook
. Beginning with the first release of the
Update to the Outlook
in June
2016, the
Outlook
has become a biannual publication, with the main report released in
the fall and its update released the following spring.
The
Outlook
was initially proposed at an informal reflection group on Southeast Asia
in 2008 as a follow-up of the Council Meeting at Ministerial level (MCM) in 2007 and
was accepted by ministers/senior officials from ASEAN countries at the occasion of the
2nd OECD-Southeast Asia Regional Forum in Bangkok in 2009. The
Outlook
project was
officially launched in 2010 and each edition is regularly presented at the occasion of
the ASEAN/East Asia Summit. It was included in the OECD’s Southeast Asia Regional
Programme (SEARP) at the Steering Group Meeting in Jakarta, Indonesia in March 2015,
with its role of providing a horizontal view of activities, identifying emerging trends in the
region and providing a backbone for the different streams of the Programme confirmed
at the 2015 MCM. The
Outlook
serves as a strategic foresight and policy dialogue tool
for the SEARP and includes summaries of recent developments in the region on issues
related to the Programme’s six Regional Policy Networks and three Initiatives.
Each edition of the
Outlook
is comprised of four main parts: a regional economic
monitor, an overview of recent developments in regional integration, structural policy
country notes and a thematic focus specific to each year’s report. The 2018 edition of
the
Outlook
focuses on the transformative effects of the digital economy and policy
challenges for Emerging Asian countries in seizing the opportunities it presents.
Digitalisation has already affected ways of doing business, trade and productivity in
the region. New technologies and improved access to the internet and information
and communication technologies will continue to reshape manufacturing and services
sectors. Fostering inclusive growth through digitalisation requires reforms to trade
and investment policies, the development of supportive infrastructure, and addressing
labour market challenges.
The OECD Development Centre is committed to working alongside governments
of developing and emerging economies and regional actors to identify key areas of
intervention in order to address these challenges. The Centre enjoys the full membership
of three Southeast Asian countries, namely Indonesia, Thailand and Viet Nam, as well
as India