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美陆军智库2016年2045年新兴科技趋势

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Emerging Science and Technology Trends: 2016-2045 A Synthesis of Leading Forecasts Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Army (Research & Technology) APRIL 2016 This report was prepared for the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Army (Research & Technology) by FutureScout, LLC, a strategy and analytics firm specializing in helping organizations understand emerging trends and how to prepare strategically to thrive in the face of an uncertain future. Questions regarding the preparation of this report may be directed to: Dr. Jason Augustyn President, FutureScout LLC (571) 730-0992 jason@futurescoutllc This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by the United States Army. Neither the United States Army nor any component thereof, nor any of its contractors or subcontractors makes any warranty for the accuracy, completeness, or any third partyˉs use of the information contained herein. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Army or any component thereof or its contractors or subcontractors. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect official views or policies of the United States Army. DISCLAIMER ODASA(R&T) | Emerging S&T Trends: 2016-2045 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .........1 BACKGROUND..........2 EMERGING S&T TRENDS .....3 CROSS-CUTTING THEMES...9 CONCLUSION ...........12 APPENDIX A: BIBLIOGRAPHY ......14 APPENDIX B: ANALYSIS METHODS .........16 TREND CARDS .........18ODASA(R&T) | Emerging S&T Trends: 2016-2045 This is the third annual report on emerging trends in science and technology (S&T) published by the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Army for Research and Technology (DASA R&T). As in prior years, the report has two primary objectives. First, it is intended to inform leaders across the U.S. Army and stakeholders in the joint, interagency, and international community about S&T trends that are likely to influence the future operating environment and shape warfighting capabilities over the next 30 years. Second, it is intended to spark strategic dialogue around the kind of S&T investments the Army should make to ensure that our Soldiers maintain overmatch in future operations. This 2016 version of the S&T Stra
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