摘要
随着景德镇市城区发展和扩张,景德镇市城区排涝站投入运营后,面临诸
多风险。2010年、2011年,景德镇城区遭遇特大洪水,西瓜洲、老鸦摊等5座
排涝站均全线淹没,排涝站损失严重,带病运行;加之原城区排涝站的蓄滞洪
水区域全部开发,严重阻碍排涝站运营能力,影响安全防洪排涝,城市内涝更
为严重,全城经济损失惨重。

本论文对城区排涝站各个风险事项的计量评估具有重要理论和实践意义。

运用层次分析法,结合问卷调查统计,可以计量这些排涝站在运营管理方面遭
遇的风险损失程度和风险发生概率,从而较为科学地评估景德镇市城区排涝站
的运营管理风险。根据评估的结果和可能损失程度分析,确定风险治理的重点
并采取有针对性的应对措施,以望为行业管理部门重新规划排涝站运营管理战
略提供理论依据和实践参照。

关键词:城区排涝站;运营管理;风险评估
ABSTRACT
The urban drainage stations of Jingdezhen city faced various risks after they
were put into operation with the development and expansion of the urban area of
Jingdezhen. In 2010 and 2011,devastating floods occurred in Jingdezhen city,
swallowing up five drainage stations respectively in Xiguazhou and Laoyatan, etc.
These drainage stations suffered serious losses, while having to run regardless its
danger. And this, coupled with the full development of the water area of the storage
and detention of the original urban drainage stations, caused a serious impediment to
the operational capacity of the drainage stations, as well as impact on the safety of
flood control and drainage, resulting in more serious urban water-logging and heavy
city-wide economic losses.
The quantitative assessment of various risk issues carried out in this paper is of
important theoretical and practical significance. Measurement of the extent and
probability of losses for the operation management of these drainage stations can be
achieved by means of the combination of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and
questionnaire survey, so as to carry out scientific assessment of the operation and
management risks of Jingdezhen urban drainage stations. What's more,the
identification of the focus on risk management can be accomplished according to the
assessment results and result analysis, to take targeted response measures,as well as
provide a theoretical basis and practical reference for the industry management
departments to conduct re-planning of the operation and management strategy.
Key Words: urban drainage station; operation management; risk assessment;