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《2010年中国省市经济增长内在动力分析报告(英文版)》(247页).rar
"The sky is high and the emperor is far away" is an old Chinese saying that refers to how much local
officials can achieve themselves with little supervision from above. It is an adage that is very relevant to
China's dynamic expansion today as much of the country's growth is being driven by local initiatives and
developments, rather than by Beijing.
Chinese reforms have empowered local governments with unprecedented economic authority following a
process of economic decentralisation that began in 1979. Indeed local officials in China's provinces and
cities have occasionally reduced the effectiveness of Beijing's policies, as shown by the capital's recent
difficulties in cracking down on property speculation. This brings to mind a modern rendering of the old
saying, namely that "there are policies above and counter-measures below."
To try and capture the scale of this local dynamism, we have put together a 244 page guide, covering 31
provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions and 21 major cities. For each, we give key economic,
financial and demographic data, list their strengths and challenges, and provide a five-year outlook.
This "bottom up" perspective on China, rather than the usual "top down" one, has thrown up some
extraordinary statistics.
􀀗 By 2020, China will have six provinces with an annual GDP of more than USD1 trillion, equal to six
countries the size of Russia (or Spain or Canada).
􀀗 With 47% of the population now living in cities, eight Chinese cities have a population of more than
10m, and 93 have more than 5m. By comparison, in the US only New York City has a population of
more than 5m.
􀀗 Beijing, China's Washington DC, is also China's Silicon Valley. Its Zhongguancun area saw 23 hightech
IPOs in 2009, against just one for Silicon Valley. There have been another 35 IPOs so far in
2010.
􀀗 Kunshan, one of 2,000 county-level cities, produces more than half of the world's notebook PCs, or
85m units – and yet IT manufacturing is not even its top-ranked industry.
􀀗 Suzhou, one of 280 prefecture-level cities, has a per capita GDP which is 70% and 46% higher than
Beijing and Shanghai, respectively.
􀀗 Jiangsu, a province little known to outsiders, is poised to overtake the much better-known southern
province of Guangdong to become China's largest provincial economy as early as 2012.
􀀗 The 1.5m inhabitants of Erdos, a city rich in natural resources in the otherwise poor western part of
the country, will have a higher GDP per capita than Hong Kong in three years time.