Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of intellectual property isprovided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given toduplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required to reproduce,or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linkingpermissions, please visit /pubs/permissions. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help makecommunities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit,nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest.RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at/giving/contributeFor more information on this publication, visit /t/CF372 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif.Copyright 2018 RAND Corporation R is a registered trademark. iiiPrefaceThis document summarizes the proceedings and findings of a conference on U.S. policy inAsia titledPivot to Asia U.S. Policy in Asia Under the Trump Administration , which was heldat the RAND Corporation in January 2017. The conference’s objectives were to examine thearenas of U.S.–Asia engagement, develop an understanding of the outcomes of past interaction,and make the case for the terms of future engagement. The conference covered climate change,trade and investment, national security, human rights, and macroeconomic issues. Theconference papers included in this document represent the views of their respective authors andwere not subject to RAND’s research and quality assurance processes.This conference was made possible, in part, by funding from the Taipei Economic andCultural Office, Los Angeles. It was organized by the RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy.RAND VenturesRAND is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to helpmake communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous.RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND Ventures is a vehicle for investing in policy solutions. Philanthropic contributionssupport our ability to take the long view, tackle tough and often-controversial topics, and shareour findings in innovative and compelling ways. RAND’s research findings andrecommendations are based on data and evidence, and therefore do not necessarily reflect thepolicy preferences or interests of its clients, donors, or supporters. Funding for this venture was provided by gifts from RAND supporters and income fromoperations.RAND Center for Asia Pacific PolicyThis work was conducted within the RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy (CAPP). CAPP ispart of International Programs at the RAND Corporation. CAPP provides analysis on political,social, economic, and technological developments in and around the Asia Pacific. Throughresearch and analysis, CAPP helps public and private decisionmakers solve problems, tacklechallenges, and identify ways to make society safer, smarter, and more prosperous. For moreinformation on the RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy, see/international_programs/capp or contact the director (contact information isprovided on the web page).ivContentsPreface .. iiiFigures .. viTables ... viiSummary ......... viiiAbbreviations ........... xxviiChapter One. The Outlook for U.S. Engagement on Climate Change in Asia ...... 1Introduction .... 1U.S. Climate Policy and Engagement in Asia in the Obama Era .......... 1Continuing Bilateral Engagement in Asia: Priorities for the New U.S. Administration . 9The Outlook for Climate Policy in Asia ......... 11Conclusions .. 15Chapter One References ........ 16Chapter Two. Climate Change: How Asian Countries Are Responding to the Problem and How They View U.S. Climate Policy ... 20Overview ...... 20Japan21Republic of Korea ..... 24Indonesia ...... 26India . 27Asian Views on the United States in the Climate Change Debate: Past, Present, and Under the New Administration .. 29Conclusion .... 34Chapter Two References ....... 35Chapter Three. The U.S.-Asia Economic Relationship: Policy Implications of Recent Trends in Trade, Foreign Direct Investment, and Patenting . 38Abstract ........ 38Introduction and Overview .... 38Asia in the Global Economy .. 42The U.S.-Asia Economic Relationship .......... 50Trade Policy: Cooperation and Friction between Asia and the United States .. 56Concluding Remarks . 63Chapter Three References ..... 64Chapter Four. The Future of U.S. Northeast Asia Policy Under Trump . 67Introduction .. 67The Obama Legacy ... 67Trump’s Foreign Policy Worldview .. 69Trump’s Northeast Asia Policy.......... 71。。。。。。