本文首先对青岛市区域金融与实体经济发展的现状与问题进行分析,
进而结合2006-2015年的数据,运用单位根检验、协整分析、格兰杰因果
检验和多元回归分析,利用软件Eviews8,测算2006-2015年青岛市区域
金融支持实体经济发展的效率。同时根据测算结果,探讨青岛市区域金融
与实体经济发展之间的内在联系,得出以下主要研究结论:一、青岛市区
域金融发展与实体经济发展效果明显;二、青岛市区域金融和实体经济存
在不平衡发展;三、青岛市区域金融对区域经济有推动作用。最后,并依
据上述结论提出相关的改进建议,这将有助于推动青岛市转变经济发展方
式,实现区域金融与实体经济的快速协调增长
关键词:区域金融,实体经济发展,效率,实证研究
I EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF
REGIONAL FINANCE AND ECONOMY IN QINGDAO
ABSTRACT
Owing to the influence of financial economic power and economic
financialization, the financial industry plays an enormous role in promoting
the balanced development of urbanization economy and marketization, and
has become an important factor in the development of the national economy in
our country.However, in recent years, the growing imbalance problem of real
economy and finance development,has become an important factor in the
restricting China&39;s economic growth and regional financial
development.Conclusion the academic research on this issue is not
uniform.This is an urgent requirement to strengthen the relationship between
the empirical research on regional financial and economic entity, to study the
relationship among the two.The empirical study on the relationship between
regional financial and economic development of Qingdao city is fit to this
reality, in order to enrich the research in this field,which has real economic
significance to full play to the role of regional coordination, financial services,
to better serve the real economy, to stimulate economic growth.
Based on this reality, this paper first analyzes the current situation and
problems of the financial support of the real economy in Qingdao city, and
then combines with the data of 2006-2015, using Eviews8, to estimate the
efficiency of the financial support for the real economy in Qingdao city during
the period of 2006-2015.At the same time, according to the survey results,
investigating the relationship between Qingdao regional financial and
economic development entities, and drawing the following conclusions:firstly,
i effect of regional financial development and economic development entity of
Qingdao is obvious; secondly,the regional finance and the real economy of
Qingdao City are not balanced development; thirdly, Qingdao regional finance
has a positive effect on the regional economy. Finally, on the basis of the
above conclusions , puts forward some relevant suggestions for
improvement.This will help to promote the transformation of the mode of
economic development in Qingdao City , to achieve the rapid growth of
regional finance and the real economy.
KEYWORDS : regional finance, real economy development,
efficiency,empirical study
ll 目录
第一章绪论 1
1.1研究背景及意义 1
1.1.1研究背景 1
1.1.2研究意义 2
1.2研究内容与方法1.2.1研究内容 2
1.2.2研究方法 3
1.3研究框架 3
1.4论文的创新点 4
第二章区域金融发展与经济发展研究综述2.1国外研究现状 .5
2.2国内研究现状 6
2.3文献述评 7
第三章青岛市区域金融支持实体经济发展的现状及问题3.1青岛市经济增长现状3.1.1青岛市经济总量发展现状3.1.2青岛市固定资产投资分析3.1.3青岛市产业构成3.2青岛市金融发展状况3.2.1青岛市信贷资源总量3.2.2青岛市保险业现状3.2.3青岛市证券业现状3.3青岛市区域金融支持实体经济发展的现状3.4存在的问题 18
3.4.1青岛市金融发展贡献度较低3.4.2青岛市金融支持力度不高3.4.3金融资源使用效率不高
21
第四章研究设计
23
4.1测算方法 23
4.2指标选取 23
4.3数据处理 24
III 4.4模型构建 26
第五章研究结果
28
5.1单位根检验 28
5.2协整检验 28
5.3格兰杰因果关系检验
29
5.4多元线性回归分析
30
5.5结果分析 31
第六章结论与政策建议
32
6.1 雜 32
6.2政策建议 33
6.2.1以金融资源总量提升为目标,不断增强中心区域辐射能力
33
6.2.2以丰富金融机构体系为渠道,带动金融市场配置效率的提升
34
6.2.3以提高企业融资能力为手段,带动区域金融竞争力的增强
35
6.2.4以发展涉外金融为补充,提升区域经济增长后劲
35
6.3研究局限与进一步研究方向
36
6.3.1研究局限 36
6.3.2进一步研究方向
36
参考文献 37
m 4〇
IV Contents
Chapter 1 Introduction1.1 Research background and significance1.1.1 Research background1.1.2 Research significance1.2 Research contents, methods1.2.1 Research contents1.2.2 Research methods1.3 Research framework1.4 Innovation points of the paperChapter 2 Review of research on regional flnancial development and
economic development2.1 Current research situation in foreign countries2.2 Domestic research status2.3 Literature review 7
Chapter 3 The current situation and problem of the regional financial
support for the real economy in Qingdao City3.1 Present situation of economic growth in Qingdao3.1.1 Present situation of economic development in Qingdao City3.1.2 Analysis of fixed assets investment in Qingdao3.1.3 Industry structure of Qingdao City3.2 Financial development of Qingdao City3.2.1 Total amount of credit resources in Qingdao City3.2.2 Current situation of insurance industry in Qingdao3.2.3 Current situation of securities industry in Qingdao3.3 Present situation of the regional financial support for the real economy in Qingdao CityV 3.4 Problems of the regional financial support for the real economy in Qingdao3.4.1 Uncoordinated of real economy and finance in Qingdao3.4.2 Mismatching of financing needs and financial support in Qingdao3.4.3 Financial resources use efficiency is not high
21
Chapter 4 Study design
23
4.1 Calculation method
23
4.2 Index selection 23
4.3 Data processing 24
4.4 Model building 26
Chapter 5 Study results
28
5.1 Unit root test 28
5.2 Cointegration sequence test
28
5.3 Grainger causality test
29
5.4 Multiple linear regression analysis
30
5.5 Analysis of results
31
Chapter 6 Conclusions and policy recommendations
33
6.1 Conclusions 33
6.2 Policy recommendations
34
6.2.1 To enhance the total amount of financial resources as the goal, and constantly enhance
the capacity of the central region of radiation
34
6.2.2 To enrich the financial institution system as a channel to promote the efficiency of
financial market allocation
35
6.2.3 In order to improve the financing capacity of enterprises as a means to promote
regional financial competitiveness
36
6.2.4 To develop foreign finance as a supplement to enhance regional economic growth
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